Friday's contest between the Washington Nationals (41-46) and the St. Louis Cardinals (45-41) at Nationals Park is expected to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 6-5, with the Nationals securing the victory. First pitch is at 6:45 PM ET on July 5.

The Cardinals will look to Sonny Gray (9-5) against the Nationals and Patrick Corbin (1-8).

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Cardinals vs. Nationals Game Info & Odds

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Cardinals vs. Nationals Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this contest is Nationals 6, Cardinals 5.

Total Prediction for Cardinals vs. Nationals

  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

Cardinals Performance Insights

  • In five games over the last 10 matchups when favored by bookmakers, the Cardinals have a record of 3-2.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, St. Louis and its opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Cardinals have won 21, or 52.5%, of the 40 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • St. Louis is 1-3 this season when entering a game favored by -189 or more on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 65.4% chance to win.
  • St. Louis has scored the fifth-fewest runs in the majors this season with just 342 (four per game).
  • The Cardinals have the 12th-ranked team ERA among all league pitching staffs (3.86).

Nationals Performance Insights

  • The Nationals have played as the underdog in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 3-6 in those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with an over/under, Washington and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total six times.
  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 72 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (45.8%) in those games.
  • Washington has a mark of 9-9 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +155 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 39.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • The offense for Washington is the No. 20 offense in baseball, scoring 4.1 runs per game (358 total runs).
  • The Nationals have the 14th-ranked ERA (3.99) in the majors this season.

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Cardinals Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 29 Reds L 9-4 Sonny Gray vs Carson Spiers
June 30 Reds W 2-0 Lance Lynn vs Hunter Greene
July 2 @ Pirates W 7-4 Kyle Gibson vs Mitch Keller
July 3 @ Pirates L 5-4 Miles Mikolas vs Jared Jones
July 4 @ Pirates W 3-2 Andre Pallante vs Martín Pérez
July 5 @ Nationals - Sonny Gray vs Patrick Corbin
July 6 @ Nationals - Lance Lynn vs MacKenzie Gore
July 7 @ Nationals - Kyle Gibson vs DJ Herz
July 8 @ Nationals - Miles Mikolas vs Mitchell Parker
July 9 Royals - Andre Pallante vs Michael Wacha
July 10 Royals - Sonny Gray vs Alec Marsh

Nationals Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 30 @ Rays L 5-0 Patrick Corbin vs Taj Bradley
July 1 Mets L 9-7 MacKenzie Gore vs David Peterson
July 2 Mets L 7-2 DJ Herz vs Sean Manaea
July 3 Mets W 7-5 Mitchell Parker vs Christian Scott
July 4 Mets W 1-0 Jake Irvin vs José Quintana
July 5 Cardinals - Patrick Corbin vs Sonny Gray
July 6 Cardinals - MacKenzie Gore vs Lance Lynn
July 7 Cardinals - DJ Herz vs Kyle Gibson
July 8 Cardinals - Mitchell Parker vs Miles Mikolas
July 9 @ Mets - Jake Irvin vs José Quintana
July 10 @ Mets - Patrick Corbin vs Luis Severino

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.