Monday's game at PETCO Park has the San Diego Padres (41-41) matching up with the Washington Nationals (38-39) at 9:40 PM ET (on June 24). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Padres, so expect a tight matchup.

The probable starters are Matt Waldron (5-6) for the Padres and Patrick Corbin (1-7) for the Nationals.

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Padres vs. Nationals Game Info & Odds

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Padres vs. Nationals Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this contest is Padres 5, Nationals 4.

Total Prediction for Padres vs. Nationals

  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

Padres Performance Insights

  • The Padres have played as the favorite in three of their past 10 games and have gone 1-2 in those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • The Padres have won 23, or 52.3%, of the 44 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • San Diego has a record of 2-3 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -227 on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 69.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego has scored 367 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB.
  • The Padres' 4.10 team ERA ranks 18th among all league pitching staffs.

Nationals Performance Insights

  • Over their last 10 games, the Nationals have been favored twice and split those games 1-1.
  • In its previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, Washington and its foes are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Nationals have been victorious in 30, or 47.6%, of the 63 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Washington has won one of six games when listed as at least +180 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 35.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • The offense for Washington is the No. 21 offense in MLB, scoring 4.1 runs per game (314 total runs).
  • The Nationals have the 12th-ranked ERA (3.86) in the majors this season.

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Padres Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 19 @ Phillies W 5-2 Matt Waldron vs Ranger Suárez
June 20 Brewers W 7-6 Adam Mazur vs Bryse Wilson
June 21 Brewers W 9-5 Dylan Cease vs Colin Rea
June 22 Brewers W 6-4 Randy Vasquez vs Carlos Rodriguez
June 23 Brewers L 6-2 Michael King vs Tobias Myers
June 24 Nationals - Matt Waldron vs Patrick Corbin
June 25 Nationals - Yu Darvish vs MacKenzie Gore
June 26 Nationals - Dylan Cease vs DJ Herz
June 28 @ Red Sox - Randy Vasquez vs Nick Pivetta
June 29 @ Red Sox - Michael King vs TBA
June 30 @ Red Sox - TBA vs TBA

Nationals Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 19 Diamondbacks W 3-1 Patrick Corbin vs Brandon Pfaadt
June 20 Diamondbacks L 5-2 MacKenzie Gore vs Ryne Nelson
June 21 @ Rockies W 11-5 DJ Herz vs Dakota Hudson
June 22 @ Rockies L 8-7 Mitchell Parker vs Cal Quantrill
June 23 @ Rockies W 2-1 Jake Irvin vs Kyle Freeland
June 24 @ Padres - Patrick Corbin vs Matt Waldron
June 25 @ Padres - MacKenzie Gore vs Yu Darvish
June 26 @ Padres - DJ Herz vs Dylan Cease
June 28 @ Rays - Mitchell Parker vs Zach Eflin
June 29 @ Rays - Jake Irvin vs Aaron Civale
June 30 @ Rays - TBA vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.