Tuesday's contest that pits the New York Yankees (52-28) versus the New York Mets (37-39) at Citi Field should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Yankees. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET on June 25.

The Yankees will look to Gerrit Cole against the Mets and David Peterson (3-0).

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Yankees vs. Mets Game Info & Odds

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Yankees vs. Mets Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this game is Yankees 6, Mets 5.

Total Prediction for Yankees vs. Mets

  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

Yankees Performance Insights

  • In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Yankees have a record of 3-6.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Yankees have been favorites in 59 games this season and won 39 (66.1%) of those contests.
  • The Yankees have a record of 21-9, a 70% win rate, when they're favored by -150 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Yankees have a 60% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Yankees are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking second with 399 total runs this season.
  • The Yankees have the second-ranked team ERA among all league pitching staffs (3.24).

Mets Performance Insights

  • The Mets have played as the underdog three times over their past 10 games and are undefeated in those matchups.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on four occasions.
  • The Mets have won in 17, or 47.2%, of the 36 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, the Mets have won five of 10 games when listed as at least +125 or better on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • The offense for the Mets is the No. 13 offense in MLB play scoring 4.7 runs per game (354 total runs).
  • Mets pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.09 ERA this year, which ranks 18th in MLB.

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Yankees Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 19 Orioles L 7-6 Gerrit Cole vs Cade Povich
June 20 Orioles L 17-5 Luis Gil vs Cole Irvin
June 21 Braves L 8-1 Carlos Rodón vs Chris Sale
June 22 Braves W 8-3 Marcus Stroman vs Charlie Morton
June 23 Braves L 3-1 Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Max Fried
June 25 @ Mets - Gerrit Cole vs David Peterson
June 26 @ Mets - Luis Gil vs Sean Manaea
June 27 @ Blue Jays - Carlos Rodón vs José Berríos
June 28 @ Blue Jays - Marcus Stroman vs Yusei Kikuchi
June 29 @ Blue Jays - Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Chris Bassitt
June 30 @ Blue Jays - Gerrit Cole vs Kevin Gausman

Mets Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 18 @ Rangers W 7-6 Luis Severino vs Michael Lorenzen
June 19 @ Rangers L 5-3 Sean Manaea vs Andrew Heaney
June 21 @ Cubs W 11-1 José Quintana vs Shota Imanaga
June 22 @ Cubs L 8-1 Tylor Megill vs Jameson Taillon
June 23 @ Cubs W 5-2 Luis Severino vs Javier Assad
June 25 Yankees - David Peterson vs Gerrit Cole
June 26 Yankees - Sean Manaea vs Luis Gil
June 28 Astros - José Quintana vs TBA
June 29 Astros - Tylor Megill vs Ronel Blanco
June 30 Astros - Luis Severino vs TBA
July 1 @ Nationals - David Peterson vs MacKenzie Gore

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.