Wednesday's contest that pits the San Diego Padres (49-45) versus the Seattle Mariners (49-43) at PETCO Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Padres. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on July 10.
The Mariners will give the ball to Bryce Miller (6-7, 3.84 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 7 on the season, and the Padres will turn to Miller.
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Mariners vs. Padres Game Info & Odds
- When: Wednesday, July 10, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to Watch on TV: SDPA
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Mariners vs. Padres Score Prediction
- Our pick for this matchup is Padres 5, Mariners 4.
Total Prediction for Mariners vs. Padres
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Mariners Performance Insights
- In five games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Mariners have a record of 2-3.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Seattle and its opponents are 4-5-1 in its last 10 games with a total.
- This season, the Mariners have won 32 out of the 55 games, or 58.2%, in which they've been favored.
- This season Seattle has won 20 of its 32 games, or 62.5%, when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 59.2%.
- Seattle has scored the fourth-fewest runs in the majors this season with just 350 (3.8 per game).
- The Mariners have the third-ranked team ERA among all league pitching staffs (3.55).
Padres Performance Insights
- In six games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 5-1.
- In its previous 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on seven occasions.
- The Padres have won in 21, or 55.3%, of the 38 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, San Diego has won eight of 14 games when listed as at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Padres have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- San Diego is the ninth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 4.6 runs per game (437 total).
- Padres pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.16 ERA this year, which ranks 19th in MLB.
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Mariners Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
July 4 | Orioles | W 7-3 | Bryce Miller vs Corbin Burnes |
July 5 | Blue Jays | W 2-1 | Luis Castillo vs Kevin Gausman |
July 6 | Blue Jays | L 5-4 | Emerson Hancock vs Yariel Rodriguez |
July 7 | Blue Jays | L 5-4 | George Kirby vs José Berríos |
July 10 | @ Padres | - | Bryce Miller vs Bryce Miller |
July 10 | @ Padres | - | Bryce Miller vs Michael King |
July 11 | @ Angels | - | Luis Castillo vs Luis Castillo |
July 11 | @ Angels | - | Luis Castillo vs Tyler Anderson |
July 12 | @ Angels | - | TBA vs José Soriano |
July 13 | @ Angels | - | George Kirby vs George Kirby |
July 14 | @ Angels | - | Logan Gilbert vs Logan Gilbert |
Padres Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
July 4 | @ Rangers | W 3-1 | Michael King vs Max Scherzer |
July 5 | Diamondbacks | W 10-8 | Randy Vasquez vs Slade Cecconi |
July 6 | Diamondbacks | L 7-5 | Matt Waldron vs Brandon Pfaadt |
July 7 | Diamondbacks | L 9-1 | Dylan Cease vs Ryne Nelson |
July 10 | Mariners | - | Bryce Miller vs Bryce Miller |
July 10 | Mariners | - | Michael King vs Bryce Miller |
July 12 | Braves | - | Spencer Schwellenbach vs Spencer Schwellenbach |
July 13 | Braves | - | Matt Waldron vs Reynaldo López |
July 13 | Braves | - | Reynaldo López vs Reynaldo López |
July 14 | Braves | - | Chris Sale vs Chris Sale |
July 14 | Braves | - | Dylan Cease vs Chris Sale |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.