Wednesday's contest that pits the San Diego Padres (49-45) versus the Seattle Mariners (49-43) at PETCO Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Padres. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on July 10.

The Mariners will give the ball to Bryce Miller (6-7, 3.84 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 7 on the season, and the Padres will turn to Miller.

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Mariners vs. Padres Game Info & Odds

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Mariners vs. Padres Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this matchup is Padres 5, Mariners 4.

Total Prediction for Mariners vs. Padres

  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

Mariners Performance Insights

  • In five games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Mariners have a record of 2-3.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Seattle and its opponents are 4-5-1 in its last 10 games with a total.
  • This season, the Mariners have won 32 out of the 55 games, or 58.2%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Seattle has won 20 of its 32 games, or 62.5%, when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 59.2%.
  • Seattle has scored the fourth-fewest runs in the majors this season with just 350 (3.8 per game).
  • The Mariners have the third-ranked team ERA among all league pitching staffs (3.55).

Padres Performance Insights

  • In six games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 5-1.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on seven occasions.
  • The Padres have won in 21, or 55.3%, of the 38 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, San Diego has won eight of 14 games when listed as at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • San Diego is the ninth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 4.6 runs per game (437 total).
  • Padres pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.16 ERA this year, which ranks 19th in MLB.

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Mariners Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
July 4 Orioles W 7-3 Bryce Miller vs Corbin Burnes
July 5 Blue Jays W 2-1 Luis Castillo vs Kevin Gausman
July 6 Blue Jays L 5-4 Emerson Hancock vs Yariel Rodriguez
July 7 Blue Jays L 5-4 George Kirby vs José Berríos
July 10 @ Padres - Bryce Miller vs Bryce Miller
July 10 @ Padres - Bryce Miller vs Michael King
July 11 @ Angels - Luis Castillo vs Luis Castillo
July 11 @ Angels - Luis Castillo vs Tyler Anderson
July 12 @ Angels - TBA vs José Soriano
July 13 @ Angels - George Kirby vs George Kirby
July 14 @ Angels - Logan Gilbert vs Logan Gilbert

Padres Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
July 4 @ Rangers W 3-1 Michael King vs Max Scherzer
July 5 Diamondbacks W 10-8 Randy Vasquez vs Slade Cecconi
July 6 Diamondbacks L 7-5 Matt Waldron vs Brandon Pfaadt
July 7 Diamondbacks L 9-1 Dylan Cease vs Ryne Nelson
July 10 Mariners - Bryce Miller vs Bryce Miller
July 10 Mariners - Michael King vs Bryce Miller
July 12 Braves - Spencer Schwellenbach vs Spencer Schwellenbach
July 13 Braves - Matt Waldron vs Reynaldo López
July 13 Braves - Reynaldo López vs Reynaldo López
July 14 Braves - Chris Sale vs Chris Sale
July 14 Braves - Dylan Cease vs Chris Sale

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.