Sunday's game between the Washington Nationals (34-36) and the Miami Marlins (23-47) at Nationals Park has a projected final score of 5-3 based on our computer prediction, with the Nationals taking home the win. First pitch is at 1:35 PM on June 16.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Nationals will send Mitchell Parker (4-3) to the mound, while Jesus Luzardo (3-5) will answer the bell for the Marlins.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Game Info & Odds

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Nationals vs. Marlins Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this game is Nationals 5, Marlins 3.

Total Prediction for Nationals vs. Marlins

  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

Nationals Performance Insights

  • Over the past 10 games, the Nationals have been favored twice and won both contests.
  • Washington and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its last 10 games with a total.
  • The Nationals have won five of the eight games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Washington is undefeated in three games this season when favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Washington has scored 286 runs (4.1 per game) this season, which ranks 21st in MLB.
  • The Nationals have the 14th-ranked team ERA across all league pitching staffs (3.89).

Marlins Performance Insights

  • The Marlins have played as the underdog in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 1-8 in those contests.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on five occasions.
  • The Marlins have won in 19, or 36.5%, of the 52 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Miami has a mark of 17-31 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • The offense for Miami is No. 29 in MLB play scoring 3.5 runs per game (244 total runs).
  • The Marlins have the 27th-ranked ERA (4.71) in the majors this season.

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Nationals Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 11 @ Tigers W 5-4 Mitchell Parker vs Kenta Maeda
June 12 @ Tigers W 7-5 Jake Irvin vs Reese Olson
June 13 @ Tigers L 7-2 Patrick Corbin vs Casey Mize
June 14 Marlins W 8-1 MacKenzie Gore vs Shaun Anderson
June 15 Marlins W 4-0 DJ Herz vs Trevor Rogers
June 16 Marlins - Mitchell Parker vs Jesús Luzardo
June 18 Diamondbacks - Jake Irvin vs Slade Cecconi
June 19 Diamondbacks - Patrick Corbin vs Brandon Pfaadt
June 20 Diamondbacks - MacKenzie Gore vs Ryne Nelson
June 21 @ Rockies - DJ Herz vs Dakota Hudson
June 22 @ Rockies - Mitchell Parker vs Cal Quantrill

Marlins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 11 @ Mets W 4-2 Jesús Luzardo vs Tylor Megill
June 12 @ Mets L 10-4 Braxton Garrett vs David Peterson
June 13 @ Mets L 3-2 Roddery Munoz vs Luis Severino
June 14 @ Nationals L 8-1 Shaun Anderson vs MacKenzie Gore
June 15 @ Nationals L 4-0 Trevor Rogers vs DJ Herz
June 16 @ Nationals - Jesús Luzardo vs Mitchell Parker
June 17 Cardinals - Braxton Garrett vs Sonny Gray
June 18 Cardinals - Roddery Munoz vs Lance Lynn
June 19 Cardinals - TBA vs Kyle Gibson
June 21 Mariners - Trevor Rogers vs George Kirby
June 22 Mariners - Jesús Luzardo vs Logan Gilbert

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.