Sunday's contest between the Atlanta Braves (38-30) and Tampa Bay Rays (33-38) matching up at Truist Park has a projected final score of 7-5 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Braves, who is listed as a small favorite by our model. The game will begin at 1:35 PM ET on June 16.
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Braves will send Hurston Waldrep (0-1) to the mound, while Zach Eflin (3-4) will answer the bell for the Rays.
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Braves vs. Rays Game Info & Odds
- When: Sunday, June 16, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: BSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Braves vs. Rays Score Prediction
- Our pick for this game is Braves 7, Rays 5.
Total Prediction for Braves vs. Rays
- Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Braves Performance Insights
- In seven games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Braves have a record of 3-4.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Atlanta and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
- The Braves have won 35, or 58.3%, of the 60 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta has a record of 34-25, a 57.6% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta ranks 13th in the majors with 303 total runs scored this season.
- The Braves' 3.66 team ERA ranks eighth across all MLB pitching staffs.
Rays Performance Insights
- The Rays have been underdogs five times over their past 10 games and lost every one of those contests.
- In its last 10 games with an over/under, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.
- The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (33.3%) in those games.
- This season, Tampa Bay has come away with a win five times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Rays have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- The offense for Tampa Bay is the No. 25 offense in the majors, scoring 3.8 runs per game (271 total runs).
- The Rays have the 25th-ranked ERA (4.42) in the majors this season.
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Braves Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 11 | @ Orioles | L 4-0 | Max Fried vs Albert Suarez |
| June 12 | @ Orioles | L 4-2 | Spencer Schwellenbach vs Cade Povich |
| June 13 | @ Orioles | W 6-3 | Reynaldo López vs Cole Irvin |
| June 14 | Rays | W 7-3 | Chris Sale vs Zack Littell |
| June 15 | Rays | W 9-2 | Charlie Morton vs Ryan Pepiot |
| June 16 | Rays | - | Hurston Waldrep vs Zach Eflin |
| June 17 | Tigers | - | Max Fried vs Reese Olson |
| June 18 | Tigers | - | Spencer Schwellenbach vs Casey Mize |
| June 19 | Tigers | - | Reynaldo López vs Tarik Skubal |
| June 21 | @ Yankees | - | Chris Sale vs Luis Gil |
| June 22 | @ Yankees | - | Charlie Morton vs Carlos Rodón |
Rays Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 11 | Cubs | W 5-2 | Zach Eflin vs Jameson Taillon |
| June 12 | Cubs | L 4-3 | Aaron Civale vs Javier Assad |
| June 13 | Cubs | W 3-2 | Taj Bradley vs Justin Steele |
| June 14 | @ Braves | L 7-3 | Zack Littell vs Chris Sale |
| June 15 | @ Braves | L 9-2 | Ryan Pepiot vs Charlie Morton |
| June 16 | @ Braves | - | Zach Eflin vs Hurston Waldrep |
| June 18 | @ Twins | - | Aaron Civale vs Pablo Lopez |
| June 19 | @ Twins | - | Taj Bradley vs Pablo Lopez |
| June 20 | @ Twins | - | Zack Littell vs Joe Ryan |
| June 21 | @ Pirates | - | Ryan Pepiot vs TBA |
| June 22 | @ Pirates | - | Zach Eflin vs Jared Jones |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.