Wednesday's contest at Citi Field has the New York Mets (28-37) squaring off against the Miami Marlins (23-43) at 7:10 PM ET (on June 12). Our computer prediction projects a close 6-5 victory for the Mets, so expect a tight matchup.

The Mets will give the nod to David Peterson (1-0) versus the Marlins and Braxton Garrett (2-1).

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Mets vs. Marlins Game Info & Odds

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Mets vs. Marlins Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this game is Mets 6, Marlins 5.

Total Prediction for Mets vs. Marlins

  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

Mets Performance Insights

  • The Mets have played as the favorite in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, New York and its opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • The Mets have been favorites in 28 games this season and won 12 (42.9%) of those contests.
  • New York has a record of 1-2 when favored by -155 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • New York ranks 17th in the majors with 282 total runs scored this season.
  • The Mets' 4.23 team ERA ranks 22nd among all MLB pitching staffs.

Marlins Performance Insights

  • In eight games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-5.
  • When it comes to the over/under, Miami and its opponents are 5-4-1 in its previous 10 games.
  • The Marlins have come away with 19 wins in the 48 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Miami has won eight of 22 games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 44.4% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Miami scores the second-fewest runs in baseball (237 total, 3.6 per game).
  • Marlins pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.61 ERA this year, which ranks 27th in MLB.

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Mets Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 4 @ Nationals W 6-3 David Peterson vs DJ Herz
June 5 @ Nationals W 9-1 Luis Severino vs Patrick Corbin
June 8 Phillies L 7-2 Sean Manaea vs Ranger Suárez
June 9 @ Phillies W 6-5 José Quintana vs Taijuan Walker
June 11 Marlins L 4-2 Tylor Megill vs Jesús Luzardo
June 12 Marlins - David Peterson vs Braxton Garrett
June 13 Marlins - Luis Severino vs Roddery Munoz
June 14 Padres - Sean Manaea vs Matt Waldron
June 15 Padres - José Quintana vs Adam Mazur
June 16 Padres - Tylor Megill vs Dylan Cease
June 17 @ Rangers - David Peterson vs Jon Gray

Marlins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 5 Rays L 5-3 Braxton Garrett vs Zach Eflin
June 7 Guardians W 3-2 Ryan Weathers vs Logan Allen
June 8 Guardians L 8-0 Roddery Munoz vs Ben Lively
June 9 Guardians L 6-3 Trevor Rogers vs Carlos Carrasco
June 11 @ Mets W 4-2 Jesús Luzardo vs Tylor Megill
June 12 @ Mets - Braxton Garrett vs David Peterson
June 13 @ Mets - Roddery Munoz vs Luis Severino
June 14 @ Nationals - TBA vs DJ Herz
June 15 @ Nationals - Trevor Rogers vs Patrick Corbin
June 16 @ Nationals - Jesús Luzardo vs Mitchell Parker
June 17 Cardinals - Braxton Garrett vs Sonny Gray

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.