Tuesday's game between the Minnesota Twins (40-32) and Tampa Bay Rays (34-38) squaring off at Target Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Twins, who is listed as a small favorite by our model. The game will start at 7:40 PM ET on June 18.

The Twins will look to Pablo Lopez (6-6) versus the Rays and Aaron Civale (2-5).

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Twins vs. Rays Game Info & Odds

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Twins vs. Rays Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this contest is Twins 5, Rays 4.

Total Prediction for Twins vs. Rays

  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

Twins Performance Insights

  • The Twins have played as the favorite in nine of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Minnesota and its opponents are 5-5-0 in its last 10 games with a total.
  • This season, the Twins have won 28 out of the 44 games, or 63.6%, in which they've been favored.
  • Minnesota has entered 25 games this season favored by -155 or more and is 17-8 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 60.8% chance to win.
  • Minnesota has scored the 10th-most runs in the majors this season with 334.
  • The Twins have the 22nd-ranked team ERA across all league pitching staffs (4.22).

Rays Performance Insights

  • In six games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have a record of 1-5.
  • In its last 10 games with an over/under, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.
  • The Rays have won in nine, or 36%, of the 25 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Tampa Bay has a mark of 1-4 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 44.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • The offense for Tampa Bay is the No. 25 offense in the majors, scoring 3.9 runs per game (279 total runs).
  • The Rays have pitched to a 4.43 ERA this season, which ranks 25th in baseball.

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Twins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 12 Rockies W 17-9 Pablo Lopez vs Austin Gomber
June 13 Athletics W 6-2 Joe Ryan vs Luis Medina
June 14 Athletics W 6-5 Simeon Woods Richardson vs Mitch Spence
June 16 Athletics W 6-2 Bailey Ober vs JP Sears
June 16 Athletics W 8-7 Chris Paddack vs Joey Estes
June 18 Rays - Pablo Lopez vs Aaron Civale
June 19 Rays - Joe Ryan vs Taj Bradley
June 20 Rays - Simeon Woods Richardson vs Zack Littell
June 21 @ Athletics - Bailey Ober vs Joey Estes
June 22 @ Athletics - Chris Paddack vs JP Sears
June 23 @ Athletics - TBA vs TBA

Rays Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 12 Cubs L 4-3 Aaron Civale vs Javier Assad
June 13 Cubs W 3-2 Taj Bradley vs Justin Steele
June 14 @ Braves L 7-3 Zack Littell vs Chris Sale
June 15 @ Braves L 9-2 Ryan Pepiot vs Charlie Morton
June 16 @ Braves W 8-6 Zach Eflin vs Hurston Waldrep
June 18 @ Twins - Aaron Civale vs Pablo Lopez
June 19 @ Twins - Taj Bradley vs Joe Ryan
June 20 @ Twins - Zack Littell vs Simeon Woods Richardson
June 21 @ Pirates - Ryan Pepiot vs TBA
June 22 @ Pirates - Zach Eflin vs Jared Jones
June 23 @ Pirates - TBA vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.