Tuesday's contest at LoanDepot park has the Miami Marlins (21-39) taking on the Tampa Bay Rays (29-31) at 6:40 PM ET (on June 4). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Marlins, so expect a competitive matchup.

The Rays will give the nod to Ryan Pepiot (3-2, 3.88 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 4 on the season, and the Marlins will counter with Jesus Luzardo (2-4, 4.18 ERA).

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Rays vs. Marlins Game Info & Odds

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Rays vs. Marlins Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this matchup is Marlins 5, Rays 4.

Total Prediction for Rays vs. Marlins

  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

Rays Performance Insights

  • In five games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have a record of 3-2.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Rays have won 17, or 48.6%, of the 35 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season Tampa Bay has won 15 of its 30 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
  • Tampa Bay has scored the 23rd-most runs in the majors this season with 234 (3.9 per game).
  • The Rays have the 24th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.33).

Marlins Performance Insights

  • The Marlins have played as the underdog in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 5-4 in those contests.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on two occasions.
  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 43 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (41.9%) in those contests.
  • Miami has a mark of 16-24 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Miami is the second-lowest scoring team in MLB play averaging 3.7 runs per game (219 total).
  • Marlins pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.56 ERA this year, which ranks 27th in MLB.

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Rays Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 29 Athletics W 4-3 Ryan Pepiot vs Joey Estes
May 30 Athletics W 6-5 Shawn Armstrong vs Hogan Harris
May 31 @ Orioles L 3-1 Aaron Civale vs Albert Suarez
June 1 @ Orioles L 9-5 Taj Bradley vs Kyle Bradish
June 2 @ Orioles W 4-3 Zack Littell vs Cole Irvin
June 4 @ Marlins - Ryan Pepiot vs Jesús Luzardo
June 5 @ Marlins - TBA vs Braxton Garrett
June 7 Orioles - Aaron Civale vs Cole Irvin
June 8 Orioles - Taj Bradley vs Grayson Rodriguez
June 9 Orioles - TBA vs TBA
June 10 Orioles - TBA vs TBA

Marlins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 28 @ Padres L 4-0 Jesús Luzardo vs Matt Waldron
May 29 @ Padres W 9-1 Braxton Garrett vs Yu Darvish
May 31 Rangers W 8-2 Sixto Sanchez vs José Ureña
June 1 Rangers L 7-0 Ryan Weathers vs Michael Lorenzen
June 2 Rangers L 6-0 Trevor Rogers vs Andrew Heaney
June 4 Rays - Jesús Luzardo vs Ryan Pepiot
June 5 Rays - Braxton Garrett vs TBA
June 7 Guardians - TBA vs Ben Lively
June 8 Guardians - Ryan Weathers vs Carlos Carrasco
June 9 Guardians - TBA vs TBA
June 11 @ Mets - TBA vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.