Saturday's game between the New York Yankees (36-17) and the San Diego Padres (27-27) at PETCO Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Yankees securing the victory. First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET on May 25.

The probable starters are Dylan Cease (5-3) for the Padres and Marcus Stroman (3-2) for the Yankees.

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Padres vs. Yankees Game Info & Odds

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Padres vs. Yankees Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this matchup is Yankees 5, Padres 4.

Total Prediction for Padres vs. Yankees

  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

Padres Performance Insights

  • The Padres have played as the favorite in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
  • This season, the Padres have been favored 27 times and won 14, or 51.9%, of those games.
  • San Diego is 14-13 this season when entering a game favored by -115 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego has scored the eighth-most runs in the majors this season with 242.
  • The Padres have the 14th-ranked team ERA across all league pitching staffs (4.00).

Yankees Performance Insights

  • The Yankees have been an underdog just two times in their last 10 contests and won both matchups.
  • In its last 10 games with an over/under, New York and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.
  • The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in 13 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (69.2%) in those games.
  • This season, New York has come away with a win eight times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • New York scores the third-most runs in baseball (260 total, 4.9 per game).
  • Yankees pitchers have a combined ERA of 2.81 ERA this year, first-best in baseball.

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Padres Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 20 @ Braves L 3-0 Randy Vasquez vs Chris Sale
May 21 @ Reds L 2-0 Joe Musgrove vs Andrew Abbott
May 22 @ Reds W 7-3 Michael King vs Nick Martínez
May 23 @ Reds W 6-4 Matt Waldron vs Frankie Montás
May 24 Yankees L 8-0 Yu Darvish vs Carlos Rodón
May 25 Yankees - Dylan Cease vs Marcus Stroman
May 26 Yankees - Joe Musgrove vs Clarke Schmidt
May 27 Marlins - Michael King vs Trevor Rogers
May 28 Marlins - Matt Waldron vs Jesús Luzardo
May 29 Marlins - Yu Darvish vs Braxton Garrett
May 31 @ Royals - TBA vs TBA

Yankees Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 20 Mariners L 5-4 Marcus Stroman vs Logan Gilbert
May 21 Mariners L 6-3 Clarke Schmidt vs Bryan Woo
May 22 Mariners W 7-3 Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Bryce Miller
May 23 Mariners W 5-0 Luis Gil vs Luis Castillo
May 24 @ Padres W 8-0 Carlos Rodón vs Yu Darvish
May 25 @ Padres - Marcus Stroman vs Dylan Cease
May 26 @ Padres - Clarke Schmidt vs Joe Musgrove
May 28 @ Angels - Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Griffin Canning
May 29 @ Angels - Luis Gil vs Tyler Anderson
May 30 @ Angels - Carlos Rodón vs Patrick Sandoval
May 31 @ Giants - TBA vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.