Tuesday's game at Citi Field has the New York Mets (56-50) taking on the Minnesota Twins (58-47) at 7:10 PM ET (on July 30). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Mets, so it should be a tight matchup.

The probable starters are Sean Manaea (6-4) for the Mets and David Festa (1-1) for the Twins.

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Mets vs. Twins Game Info & Odds

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Mets vs. Twins Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this contest is Mets 5, Twins 4.

Total Prediction for Mets vs. Twins

  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

Discover More About This Game

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    • Mets Performance Insights

    • The Mets have played as the favorite in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
    • When it comes to hitting the over, New York and its opponents are 5-5-0 in its last 10 games with a total.
    • This season, the Mets have won 30 out of the 55 games, or 54.5%, in which they've been favored.
    • New York has a record of 12-8 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -145 on the moneyline.
    • The Mets have a 59.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
    • New York is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking fifth with 521 total runs this season.
    • The Mets have a 4.17 team ERA that ranks 20th among all league pitching staffs.

    Twins Performance Insights

    • In five games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Twins have posted a mark of 2-3.
    • In its previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, Minnesota and its opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
    • The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 31 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (38.7%) in those games.
    • This season, Minnesota has come away with a win two times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
    • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 45.5% chance of walking away with the win.
    • Minnesota is the eighth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 4.8 runs per game (507 total).
    • Twins pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.21 ERA this year, which ranks 21st in MLB.

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    Mets Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    July 25 Braves W 3-2 Luis Severino vs Chris Sale
    July 26 Braves W 8-4 Kodai Senga vs Charlie Morton
    July 27 Braves L 4-0 Tylor Megill vs Spencer Schwellenbach
    July 28 Braves L 9-2 David Peterson vs Reynaldo López
    July 29 Twins W 15-2 José Quintana vs Simeon Woods Richardson
    July 30 Twins - Sean Manaea vs David Festa
    July 31 Twins - Luis Severino vs Pablo Lopez
    August 2 @ Angels - Tylor Megill vs Tyler Anderson
    August 3 @ Angels - David Peterson vs José Soriano
    August 4 @ Angels - José Quintana vs Griffin Canning
    August 5 @ Cardinals - Sean Manaea vs Sonny Gray

    Twins Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    July 24 Phillies W 5-4 Steven Okert vs Aaron Nola
    July 26 @ Tigers W 9-3 Pablo Lopez vs Keider Montero
    July 27 @ Tigers L 7-2 Joe Ryan vs Tarik Skubal
    July 28 @ Tigers W 5-0 Bailey Ober vs Alex Faedo
    July 29 @ Mets L 15-2 Simeon Woods Richardson vs José Quintana
    July 30 @ Mets - David Festa vs Sean Manaea
    July 31 @ Mets - Pablo Lopez vs Luis Severino
    August 2 White Sox - Joe Ryan vs Davis Martin
    August 3 White Sox - Bailey Ober vs Garrett Crochet
    August 4 White Sox - Simeon Woods Richardson vs Chris Flexen
    August 5 @ Cubs - David Festa vs Kyle Hendricks

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    dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.