Thursday's game at Comerica Park has the Detroit Tigers (52-57) going head to head against the Kansas City Royals (60-49) at 6:40 PM ET (on August 1). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 6-5 win for the Tigers, so it should be a tight matchup.

The Royals will give the nod to Seth Lugo (12-5, 2.66 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 13 on the season, and the Tigers will counter with Keider Montero (1-4, 6.38 ERA).

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Royals vs. Tigers Game Info & Odds

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Royals vs. Tigers Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this game is Tigers 6, Royals 5.

Total Prediction for Royals vs. Tigers

  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

Read More About This Game

  • Royals vs. Tigers Picks
  • How to Watch Royals vs. Tigers
  • Royals Performance Insights

    • The Royals have played as the favorite in nine of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
    • In its last 10 games with a total, Kansas City and its opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
    • The Royals have won 31, or 67.4%, of the 46 games they've played as favorites this season.
    • This season Kansas City has won 17 of its 22 games, or 77.3%, when favored by at least -165 on the moneyline.
    • The implied probability of a win from the Royals, based on the moneyline, is 62.3%.
    • Kansas City has scored 512 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB.
    • The Royals have a 3.81 team ERA that ranks 10th across all league pitching staffs.

    Tigers Performance Insights

    • In eight games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Tigers have posted a mark of 1-7.
    • In its previous 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, Detroit and its opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
    • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 62 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (43.5%) in those games.
    • Detroit has won all of its five games in which it was named as at least a +140 moneyline underdog.
    • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 41.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
    • Detroit scores the 19th-most runs in baseball (459 total, 4.2 per game).
    • The Tigers have pitched to a 3.97 ERA this season, which ranks 14th in baseball.

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    Royals Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    July 27 Cubs L 9-4 Seth Lugo vs Shota Imanaga
    July 28 Cubs L 7-3 Cole Ragans vs Javier Assad
    July 29 @ White Sox W 8-5 Alec Marsh vs Chris Flexen
    July 30 @ White Sox W 4-3 Michael Wacha vs Jonathan Cannon
    July 31 @ White Sox W 10-3 Brady Singer vs Drew Thorpe
    August 1 @ Tigers - Seth Lugo vs Keider Montero
    August 2 @ Tigers - Cole Ragans vs Tarik Skubal
    August 3 @ Tigers - Michael Lorenzen vs TBA
    August 4 @ Tigers - Michael Wacha vs Jack Flaherty
    August 5 Red Sox - Brady Singer vs James Paxton
    August 6 Red Sox - Seth Lugo vs Brayan Bello

    Tigers Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    July 26 Twins L 9-3 Keider Montero vs Pablo Lopez
    July 27 Twins W 7-2 Tarik Skubal vs Joe Ryan
    July 28 Twins L 5-0 Alex Faedo vs Bailey Ober
    July 29 Guardians L 8-4 Beau Brieske vs Tanner Bibee
    July 30 Guardians L 5-0 Tyler Holton vs Gavin Williams
    August 1 Royals - Keider Montero vs Seth Lugo
    August 2 Royals - Tarik Skubal vs Cole Ragans
    August 3 Royals - TBA vs Michael Lorenzen
    August 4 Royals - Jack Flaherty vs Michael Wacha
    August 6 @ Mariners - TBA vs Luis Castillo
    August 7 @ Mariners - Keider Montero vs George Kirby

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    dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.