Wednesday's game that pits the Boston Red Sox (56-50) versus the Seattle Mariners (57-52) at Fenway Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox. Game time is at 4:10 PM ET on July 31.
The Mariners will give the nod to George Kirby (8-7, 3.03 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 9 on the season, and the Red Sox will turn to Brayan Bello (10-5, 5.27 ERA).
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Mariners vs. Red Sox Game Info & Odds
- When: Wednesday, July 31, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Mariners vs. Red Sox Score Prediction
- Our prediction for this game is Red Sox 6, Mariners 5.
Total Prediction for Mariners vs. Red Sox
- Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Discover More About This Game
Mariners Performance Insights
- In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Mariners have a record of 5-4.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Seattle and its opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
- The Mariners have won 39, or 55.7%, of the 70 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Seattle is 37-26 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
- Seattle is among the lowest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking 28th with just 429 total runs (3.9 per game) this season.
- The Mariners have the first-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.48).
Red Sox Performance Insights
- In five games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 1-4.
- In its last 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, Boston and its opponents are 9-1-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Red Sox have been underdogs in 45 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (51.1%) in those contests.
- This season, Boston has been victorious 14 times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Boston is the seventh-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 4.9 runs per game (519 total).
- The Red Sox have the 13th-ranked ERA (3.96) in the majors this season.
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Mariners Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 26 | @ White Sox | W 10-0 | George Kirby vs Drew Thorpe |
| July 27 | @ White Sox | W 6-3 | Bryan Woo vs Erick Fedde |
| July 28 | @ White Sox | W 6-3 | Bryce Miller vs Garrett Crochet |
| July 29 | @ Red Sox | L 14-7 | Logan Gilbert vs Nick Pivetta |
| July 30 | @ Red Sox | W 10-6 | Luis Castillo vs James Paxton |
| July 31 | @ Red Sox | - | George Kirby vs Brayan Bello |
| August 2 | Phillies | - | Bryan Woo vs Tyler Phillips |
| August 3 | Phillies | - | Bryce Miller vs Kolby Allard |
| August 4 | Phillies | - | Logan Gilbert vs Zack Wheeler |
| August 6 | Tigers | - | Luis Castillo vs TBA |
| August 7 | Tigers | - | TBA vs TBA |
Red Sox Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 26 | Yankees | W 9-7 | Brayan Bello vs Nestor Cortes Jr. |
| July 27 | Yankees | L 11-8 | Kutter Crawford vs Marcus Stroman |
| July 28 | Yankees | L 8-2 | Tanner Houck vs Carlos Rodón |
| July 29 | Mariners | W 14-7 | Nick Pivetta vs Logan Gilbert |
| July 30 | Mariners | L 10-6 | James Paxton vs Luis Castillo |
| July 31 | Mariners | - | Brayan Bello vs George Kirby |
| August 2 | @ Rangers | - | Kutter Crawford vs Michael Lorenzen |
| August 3 | @ Rangers | - | Tanner Houck vs Jon Gray |
| August 4 | @ Rangers | - | Nick Pivetta vs Nathan Eovaldi |
| August 5 | @ Royals | - | James Paxton vs Brady Singer |
| August 6 | @ Royals | - | Brayan Bello vs Seth Lugo |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.