Tuesday's game at Chase Field has the Arizona Diamondbacks (56-51) squaring off against the Washington Nationals (49-58) at 9:40 PM ET (on July 30). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Diamondbacks, so it should be a competitive matchup.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Diamondbacks will send Ryne Nelson (7-6) to the mound, while Patrick Corbin (2-10) will answer the bell for the Nationals.

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Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Game Info & Odds

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Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this contest is Diamondbacks 5, Nationals 4.

Total Prediction for Diamondbacks vs. Nationals

  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs

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  • Diamondbacks Performance Insights

    • In four games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a perfect record of 4-0.
    • When it comes to hitting the over, Arizona and its opponents are 5-5-0 in its last 10 games with a total.
    • The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 48 games this season and won 29 (60.4%) of those contests.
    • Arizona has entered 17 games this season favored by -175 or more and is 12-5 in those contests.
    • The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 63.6%.
    • Arizona has scored 536 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB.
    • The Diamondbacks have a 4.53 team ERA that ranks 26th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Nationals Performance Insights

    • In seven games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have posted a mark of 4-3.
    • When it comes to the total, Washington and its foes are 6-4-0 in its last 10 contests.
    • The Nationals have come away with 39 wins in the 87 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
    • This year, Washington has won 14 of 29 games when listed as at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
    • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 40.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
    • Averaging 4.3 runs per game (458 total), Washington is the 17th-highest scoring team in baseball.
    • The Nationals have the 22nd-ranked ERA (4.26) in the majors this season.

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    Diamondbacks Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    July 24 @ Royals W 8-6 Ryne Nelson vs Michael Wacha
    July 26 Pirates W 4-3 Zac Gallen vs Luis Ortiz
    July 27 Pirates W 9-5 Brandon Pfaadt vs Marco Gonzales
    July 28 Pirates L 6-5 Yilber Diaz vs Mitch Keller
    July 29 Nationals W 9-8 Jordan Montgomery vs Mitchell Parker
    July 30 Nationals - Ryne Nelson vs Patrick Corbin
    July 31 Nationals - Zac Gallen vs MacKenzie Gore
    August 2 @ Pirates - Brandon Pfaadt vs Luis Ortiz
    August 3 @ Pirates - Yilber Diaz vs Marco Gonzales
    August 4 @ Pirates - Jordan Montgomery vs Mitch Keller
    August 5 @ Guardians - Ryne Nelson vs Gavin Williams

    Nationals Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    July 25 Padres L 3-0 Patrick Corbin vs Dylan Cease
    July 26 @ Cardinals W 10-8 MacKenzie Gore vs Sonny Gray
    July 27 @ Cardinals W 14-3 Jake Irvin vs Kyle Gibson
    July 28 @ Cardinals L 4-3 DJ Herz vs Miles Mikolas
    July 29 @ Diamondbacks L 9-8 Mitchell Parker vs Jordan Montgomery
    July 30 @ Diamondbacks - Patrick Corbin vs Ryne Nelson
    July 31 @ Diamondbacks - MacKenzie Gore vs Zac Gallen
    August 2 Brewers - Jake Irvin vs Aaron Civale
    August 3 Brewers - DJ Herz vs Tobias Myers
    August 4 Brewers - Mitchell Parker vs Colin Rea
    August 5 Giants - Patrick Corbin vs Robbie Ray

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    dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.