Thursday's contest at Nationals Park has the Washington Nationals (47-55) taking on the San Diego Padres (54-50) at 12:05 PM ET (on July 25). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 6-5 victory for the Nationals, so it should be a competitive matchup.
The probable starters are Dylan Cease (9-8) for the Padres and Patrick Corbin (2-9) for the Nationals.
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Padres vs. Nationals Game Info & Odds
- When: Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 12:05 PM ET
- Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
- How to Watch on TV: MASN2
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Padres vs. Nationals Score Prediction
- Our pick for this contest is Nationals 6, Padres 5.
Total Prediction for Padres vs. Nationals
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Read More About This Game
Padres Performance Insights
- In three games over the last 10 matchups when favored by oddsmakers, the Padres have a record of 1-2.
- In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
- The Padres have won 26, or 50%, of the 52 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season San Diego has won five of its eight games when favored by at least -189 on the moneyline.
- The Padres have a 65.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- San Diego has scored 473 runs (4.5 per game) this season, which ranks 12th in MLB.
- The Padres have a 4.07 team ERA that ranks 18th across all MLB pitching staffs.
Nationals Performance Insights
- In seven games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have posted a mark of 4-3.
- In its last 10 games with an over/under, Washington and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 82 games this year and have walked away with the win 37 times (45.1%) in those games.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 10-10 when favored by +155 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 39.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Washington scores the 21st-most runs in baseball (423 total, 4.1 per game).
- The Nationals have the 21st-ranked ERA (4.21) in the majors this season.
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Padres Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 19 | @ Guardians | L 7-0 | Matt Waldron vs Tanner Bibee |
| July 20 | @ Guardians | W 7-0 | Dylan Cease vs Gavin Williams |
| July 21 | @ Guardians | W 2-1 | Michael King vs Ben Lively |
| July 23 | @ Nationals | W 4-0 | Randy Vasquez vs DJ Herz |
| July 24 | @ Nationals | W 12-3 | Matt Waldron vs Mitchell Parker |
| July 25 | @ Nationals | - | Dylan Cease vs Patrick Corbin |
| July 26 | @ Orioles | - | Michael King vs Grayson Rodriguez |
| July 27 | @ Orioles | - | Michael King vs Dean Kremer |
| July 28 | @ Orioles | - | Randy Vasquez vs Albert Suarez |
| July 30 | Dodgers | - | Matt Waldron vs Landon Knack |
| July 31 | Dodgers | - | TBA vs TBA |
Nationals Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 19 | Reds | W 8-5 | Patrick Corbin vs Frankie Montás |
| July 20 | Reds | W 5-4 | MacKenzie Gore vs Nick Lodolo |
| July 21 | Reds | W 5-2 | Jake Irvin vs Andrew Abbott |
| July 23 | Padres | L 4-0 | DJ Herz vs Randy Vasquez |
| July 24 | Padres | L 12-3 | Mitchell Parker vs Matt Waldron |
| July 25 | Padres | - | Patrick Corbin vs Dylan Cease |
| July 26 | @ Cardinals | - | MacKenzie Gore vs Sonny Gray |
| July 27 | @ Cardinals | - | Jake Irvin vs Kyle Gibson |
| July 28 | @ Cardinals | - | TBA vs Miles Mikolas |
| July 29 | @ Diamondbacks | - | Mitchell Parker vs Jordan Montgomery |
| July 30 | @ Diamondbacks | - | Patrick Corbin vs Ryne Nelson |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.