Sunday's contest at PNC Park has the Pittsburgh Pirates (37-39) taking on the Tampa Bay Rays (37-40) at 1:35 PM ET (on June 23). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Pirates, so it should be a competitive matchup.
The Pirates will give the nod to Paul Skenes (4-0, 2.29 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 5 on the season, and the Rays will counter with Aaron Civale (2-5, 5.42 ERA).
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Pirates vs. Rays Game Info & Odds
- When: Sunday, June 23, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
- Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: BSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Pirates vs. Rays Score Prediction
- Our pick for this game is Pirates 5, Rays 4.
Total Prediction for Pirates vs. Rays
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Pirates Performance Insights
- The Pirates have played as the favorite in six of their past 10 games and have won four of those contests.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over two times in its last 10 games with a total.
- The Pirates have won 14, or 43.8%, of the 32 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Pittsburgh has entered eight games this season favored by -159 or more and is 5-3 in those contests.
- The Pirates have a 61.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Pittsburgh ranks 23rd in the majors with 306 total runs scored this season.
- The Pirates have a 3.98 team ERA that ranks 16th across all league pitching staffs.
Rays Performance Insights
- In six games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have posted a mark of 3-3.
- When it comes to the over/under, Tampa Bay and its foes are 6-4-0 in its last 10 contests.
- The Rays have been victorious in 11, or 39.3%, of the 28 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Tampa Bay has a mark of 2-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +135 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 42.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Averaging four runs per game (308 total), Tampa Bay is the 22nd-highest scoring team in MLB.
- The Rays have the 24th-ranked ERA (4.43) in the majors this season.
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Pirates Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
June 17 | Reds | W 4-1 | Paul Skenes vs Carson Spiers |
June 18 | Reds | L 2-1 | Bailey Falter vs Nick Lodolo |
June 19 | Reds | W 1-0 | Mitch Keller vs Hunter Greene |
June 21 | Rays | L 10-3 | Carmen Mlodzinski vs Ryan Pepiot |
June 22 | Rays | W 4-3 | Jared Jones vs Zach Eflin |
June 23 | Rays | - | Paul Skenes vs Aaron Civale |
June 24 | @ Reds | - | Bailey Falter vs Carson Spiers |
June 25 | @ Reds | - | Mitch Keller vs Hunter Greene |
June 26 | @ Reds | - | TBA vs Andrew Abbott |
June 28 | @ Braves | - | Jared Jones vs Max Fried |
June 29 | @ Braves | - | Paul Skenes vs Spencer Schwellenbach |
Rays Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
June 18 | @ Twins | L 7-6 | Aaron Civale vs Pablo Lopez |
June 19 | @ Twins | W 3-2 | Taj Bradley vs Joe Ryan |
June 20 | @ Twins | W 7-6 | Zack Littell vs Simeon Woods Richardson |
June 21 | @ Pirates | W 10-3 | Ryan Pepiot vs Carmen Mlodzinski |
June 22 | @ Pirates | L 4-3 | Zach Eflin vs Jared Jones |
June 23 | @ Pirates | - | Aaron Civale vs Paul Skenes |
June 24 | Mariners | - | Taj Bradley vs Bryan Woo |
June 25 | Mariners | - | Zack Littell vs Luis Castillo |
June 26 | Mariners | - | Ryan Pepiot vs George Kirby |
June 28 | Nationals | - | Zach Eflin vs Mitchell Parker |
June 29 | Nationals | - | Aaron Civale vs Jake Irvin |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.