Tuesday's game at Yankee Stadium has the New York Yankees (54-32) taking on the Cincinnati Reds (39-45) at 7:05 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 5-4 win for the Yankees, who are a slight favorite based on our model.

The probable pitchers are Luis Gil (9-3) for the Yankees and Graham Ashcraft (4-4) for the Reds.

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Yankees vs. Reds Game Info & Odds

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Yankees vs. Reds Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this matchup is Yankees 5, Reds 4.

Total Prediction for Yankees vs. Reds

  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

Yankees Performance Insights

  • The Yankees have played as the favorite in seven of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, New York and its opponents have failed to hit the over once.
  • The Yankees have won 39, or 61.9%, of the 63 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • New York is 8-3 this season when entering a game favored by -189 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.4% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • New York is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking second with 437 total runs this season.
  • The Yankees' 3.54 team ERA ranks fifth across all MLB pitching staffs.

Reds Performance Insights

  • The Reds have played as the underdog in six of their past 10 games and have gone 3-3 in those contests.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on five occasions.
  • The Reds have won in 17, or 36.2%, of the 47 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Cincinnati has a mark of 2-1 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +155 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 39.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • The offense for Cincinnati is the No. 15 offense in MLB, scoring 4.3 runs per game (358 total runs).
  • The Reds have the 11th-ranked ERA (3.86) in the majors this season.

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Yankees Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 26 @ Mets L 12-2 Luis Gil vs Sean Manaea
June 27 @ Blue Jays L 9-2 Carlos Rodón vs José Berríos
June 28 @ Blue Jays W 16-5 Marcus Stroman vs Yusei Kikuchi
June 29 @ Blue Jays L 9-3 Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Chris Bassitt
June 30 @ Blue Jays W 8-1 Gerrit Cole vs Kevin Gausman
July 2 Reds - Luis Gil vs Graham Ashcraft
July 3 Reds - Carlos Rodón vs Andrew Abbott
July 4 Reds - Marcus Stroman vs Frankie Montás
July 5 Red Sox - Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Tanner Houck
July 6 Red Sox - Gerrit Cole vs Josh Winckowski
July 7 Red Sox - Luis Gil vs Kutter Crawford

Reds Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 26 Pirates L 6-1 Graham Ashcraft vs Luis Ortiz
June 27 @ Cardinals W 11-4 Andrew Abbott vs Miles Mikolas
June 28 @ Cardinals L 1-0 Frankie Montás vs Andre Pallante
June 29 @ Cardinals W 9-4 Carson Spiers vs Sonny Gray
June 30 @ Cardinals L 2-0 Hunter Greene vs Lance Lynn
July 2 @ Yankees - Graham Ashcraft vs Luis Gil
July 3 @ Yankees - Andrew Abbott vs Carlos Rodón
July 4 @ Yankees - Frankie Montás vs Marcus Stroman
July 5 Tigers - Carson Spiers vs Reese Olson
July 6 Tigers - Hunter Greene vs Casey Mize
July 7 Tigers - Graham Ashcraft vs Tarik Skubal

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.