Thursday's contest that pits the Cincinnati Reds (20-28) against the San Diego Padres (25-26) at Great American Ball Park is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Reds. Game time is at 1:10 PM ET on May 23.
The probable pitchers are Frankie Montas (2-3) for the Reds and Matt Waldron (2-5) for the Padres.
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Reds vs. Padres Game Info & Odds
- When: Thursday, May 23, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: BSOH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Reds vs. Padres Score Prediction
- Our prediction for this game is Reds 5, Padres 4.
Total Prediction for Reds vs. Padres
- Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Reds Performance Insights
- The Reds have been the favorite once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Cincinnati and its opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Reds have won 10, or 52.6%, of the 19 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season Cincinnati has won 12 of its 21 games, or 57.1%, when favored by at least -110 on the moneyline.
- The Reds have a 52.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Cincinnati ranks 21st in the majors with 197 total runs scored this season.
- The Reds' 3.92 team ERA ranks 13th across all league pitching staffs.
Padres Performance Insights
- In five games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 4-1.
- In its previous 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on five occasions.
- The Padres have won in 11, or 55%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, San Diego has come away with a win 11 times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least -110 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Padres have an implied victory probability of 52.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- San Diego is the ninth-highest scoring team in MLB, averaging 4.5 runs per game (229 total).
- The Padres have pitched to a 3.93 ERA this season, which ranks 14th in baseball.
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Reds Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17 | @ Dodgers | L 7-3 | Frankie Montás vs James Paxton |
| May 18 | @ Dodgers | L 4-0 | Graham Ashcraft vs Walker Buehler |
| May 19 | @ Dodgers | L 3-2 | Hunter Greene vs Landon Knack |
| May 21 | Padres | W 2-0 | Andrew Abbott vs Joe Musgrove |
| May 22 | Padres | - | Nick Martínez vs Michael King |
| May 23 | Padres | - | Frankie Montás vs Matt Waldron |
| May 24 | Dodgers | - | Graham Ashcraft vs James Paxton |
| May 25 | Dodgers | - | Hunter Greene vs Walker Buehler |
| May 26 | Dodgers | - | Andrew Abbott vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto |
| May 27 | Cardinals | - | Nick Martínez vs Lance Lynn |
| May 28 | Cardinals | - | Frankie Montás vs Kyle Gibson |
Padres Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19 | @ Braves | W 9-1 | Yu Darvish vs Bryce Elder |
| May 20 | @ Braves | W 6-5 | Dylan Cease vs Reynaldo López |
| May 20 | @ Braves | L 3-0 | Randy Vasquez vs Chris Sale |
| May 21 | @ Reds | L 2-0 | Joe Musgrove vs Andrew Abbott |
| May 22 | @ Reds | - | Michael King vs Nick Martínez |
| May 23 | @ Reds | - | Matt Waldron vs Frankie Montás |
| May 24 | Yankees | - | Yu Darvish vs Carlos Rodón |
| May 25 | Yankees | - | Dylan Cease vs Marcus Stroman |
| May 26 | Yankees | - | Joe Musgrove vs Clarke Schmidt |
| May 27 | Marlins | - | Michael King vs Trevor Rogers |
| May 28 | Marlins | - | Matt Waldron vs Jesús Luzardo |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.