Thursday's contest that pits the Cincinnati Reds (20-28) against the San Diego Padres (25-26) at Great American Ball Park is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Reds. Game time is at 1:10 PM ET on May 23.

The probable pitchers are Frankie Montas (2-3) for the Reds and Matt Waldron (2-5) for the Padres.

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Reds vs. Padres Game Info & Odds

  • When: Thursday, May 23, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSOH
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
  • Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub

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Reds vs. Padres Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this game is Reds 5, Padres 4.

Total Prediction for Reds vs. Padres

  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs

Reds Performance Insights

  • The Reds have been the favorite once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Cincinnati and its opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Reds have won 10, or 52.6%, of the 19 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season Cincinnati has won 12 of its 21 games, or 57.1%, when favored by at least -110 on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have a 52.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Cincinnati ranks 21st in the majors with 197 total runs scored this season.
  • The Reds' 3.92 team ERA ranks 13th across all league pitching staffs.

Padres Performance Insights

  • In five games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 4-1.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on five occasions.
  • The Padres have won in 11, or 55%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, San Diego has come away with a win 11 times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least -110 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 52.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • San Diego is the ninth-highest scoring team in MLB, averaging 4.5 runs per game (229 total).
  • The Padres have pitched to a 3.93 ERA this season, which ranks 14th in baseball.

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Reds Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 17 @ Dodgers L 7-3 Frankie Montás vs James Paxton
May 18 @ Dodgers L 4-0 Graham Ashcraft vs Walker Buehler
May 19 @ Dodgers L 3-2 Hunter Greene vs Landon Knack
May 21 Padres W 2-0 Andrew Abbott vs Joe Musgrove
May 22 Padres - Nick Martínez vs Michael King
May 23 Padres - Frankie Montás vs Matt Waldron
May 24 Dodgers - Graham Ashcraft vs James Paxton
May 25 Dodgers - Hunter Greene vs Walker Buehler
May 26 Dodgers - Andrew Abbott vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto
May 27 Cardinals - Nick Martínez vs Lance Lynn
May 28 Cardinals - Frankie Montás vs Kyle Gibson

Padres Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 19 @ Braves W 9-1 Yu Darvish vs Bryce Elder
May 20 @ Braves W 6-5 Dylan Cease vs Reynaldo López
May 20 @ Braves L 3-0 Randy Vasquez vs Chris Sale
May 21 @ Reds L 2-0 Joe Musgrove vs Andrew Abbott
May 22 @ Reds - Michael King vs Nick Martínez
May 23 @ Reds - Matt Waldron vs Frankie Montás
May 24 Yankees - Yu Darvish vs Carlos Rodón
May 25 Yankees - Dylan Cease vs Marcus Stroman
May 26 Yankees - Joe Musgrove vs Clarke Schmidt
May 27 Marlins - Michael King vs Trevor Rogers
May 28 Marlins - Matt Waldron vs Jesús Luzardo

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.