Friday's game between the Arizona Diamondbacks (63-52) and Philadelphia Phillies (68-46) going head to head at Chase Field has a projected final score of 6-5 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Diamondbacks, so expect a tight matchup. The game will begin at 9:40 PM ET on August 9.

The Phillies will give the nod to Zack Wheeler (11-5, 2.77 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 12 on the season, and the Diamondbacks will turn to Ryne Nelson (8-6, 4.65 ERA).

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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Info & Odds

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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this matchup is Diamondbacks 6, Phillies 5.

Total Prediction for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

Phillies Performance Insights

  • In five games over the last 10 matchups when favored by sportsbooks, the Phillies have a record of 1-4.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
  • This season, the Phillies have won 53 out of the 86 games, or 61.6%, in which they've been favored.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 34-15 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -159 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 61.4% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • Philadelphia has scored 558 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB.
  • The Phillies' 3.61 team ERA ranks second across all league pitching staffs.

Diamondbacks Performance Insights

  • Over their last 10 contests, the Diamondbacks were named underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
  • In its last 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, Arizona and its opponents are 8-1-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Diamondbacks have won in 24, or 44.4%, of the 54 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Arizona has been victorious four times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 42.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Arizona scores the most runs in baseball (594 total, 5.2 per game).
  • The Diamondbacks have pitched to a 4.50 ERA this season, which ranks 25th in baseball.

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Phillies Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
August 3 @ Mariners L 6-5 Orion Kerkering vs Bryce Miller
August 4 @ Mariners W 6-0 Zack Wheeler vs Logan Gilbert
August 5 @ Dodgers L 5-3 Aaron Nola vs Tyler Glasnow
August 6 @ Dodgers W 6-2 Cristopher Sanchez vs Clayton Kershaw
August 7 @ Dodgers W 9-4 Tyler Phillips vs Gavin Stone
August 9 @ Diamondbacks - Zack Wheeler vs Ryne Nelson
August 10 @ Diamondbacks - Aaron Nola vs Zac Gallen
August 11 @ Diamondbacks - Cristopher Sanchez vs Zac Gallen
August 13 Marlins - Tyler Phillips vs Valente Bellozo
August 14 Marlins - TBA vs Kyle Tyler
August 15 Nationals - Zack Wheeler vs Mitchell Parker

Diamondbacks Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
August 3 @ Pirates L 4-2 Jordan Montgomery vs Mitch Keller
August 4 @ Pirates W 6-5 Ryne Nelson vs Paul Skenes
August 5 @ Guardians W 7-6 Zac Gallen vs Logan Allen
August 7 @ Guardians W 7-3 Brandon Pfaadt vs Ben Lively
August 7 @ Guardians W 5-3 Eduardo Rodríguez vs Carlos Carrasco
August 9 Phillies - Ryne Nelson vs Zack Wheeler
August 10 Phillies - Zac Gallen vs Aaron Nola
August 11 Phillies - Zac Gallen vs Cristopher Sanchez
August 12 Rockies - Brandon Pfaadt vs Ryan Feltner
August 13 Rockies - Eduardo Rodríguez vs Austin Gomber
August 14 Rockies - Jordan Montgomery vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.