Friday's game features the Cleveland Guardians (66-42) and the Baltimore Orioles (65-45) squaring off at Progressive Field in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Guardians according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 7:10 PM ET on August 2.

The probable pitchers are Dean Kremer (4-7) for the Orioles and Carlos Carrasco (3-9) for the Guardians.

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Orioles vs. Guardians Game Info & Odds

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Orioles vs. Guardians Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this game is Guardians 5, Orioles 4.

Total Prediction for Orioles vs. Guardians

  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

Orioles Performance Insights

  • In eight games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 5-3.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Baltimore and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times.
  • The Orioles have been favorites in 82 games this season and won 50 (61%) of those contests.
  • Baltimore is 43-30 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
  • Baltimore has scored 556 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB.
  • The Orioles have a 3.85 team ERA that ranks 11th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Guardians Performance Insights

  • In four games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Guardians have posted a mark of 2-2.
  • In its last 10 games with an over/under, Cleveland and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total four times.
  • The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 34 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (50%) in those games.
  • Cleveland has a mark of 10-13 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Averaging 4.6 runs per game (501 total), Cleveland is the 13th-highest scoring team in the majors.
  • The Guardians have pitched to a 3.63 ERA this season, which ranks fourth in baseball.

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Orioles Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
July 29 Blue Jays W 11-5 Zach Eflin vs Yariel Rodriguez
July 29 Blue Jays L 8-4 Cade Povich vs Bowden Francis
July 30 Blue Jays W 6-2 Corbin Burnes vs Chris Bassitt
July 31 Blue Jays W 10-4 Grayson Rodriguez vs Paolo Espino
August 1 @ Guardians L 10-3 Trevor Rogers vs Ben Lively
August 2 @ Guardians - Dean Kremer vs Carlos Carrasco
August 3 @ Guardians - Zach Eflin vs Joey Cantillo
August 4 @ Guardians - Corbin Burnes vs Gavin Williams
August 6 @ Blue Jays - Grayson Rodriguez vs Chris Bassitt
August 7 @ Blue Jays - Trevor Rogers vs Paolo Espino
August 8 @ Blue Jays - Dean Kremer vs Kevin Gausman

Guardians Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
July 27 @ Phillies L 8-0 Carlos Carrasco vs Tyler Phillips
July 28 @ Phillies W 4-3 Joey Cantillo vs Kolby Allard
July 29 @ Tigers W 8-4 Tanner Bibee vs Beau Brieske
July 30 @ Tigers W 5-0 Gavin Williams vs Tyler Holton
August 1 Orioles W 10-3 Ben Lively vs Trevor Rogers
August 2 Orioles - Carlos Carrasco vs Dean Kremer
August 3 Orioles - Joey Cantillo vs Zach Eflin
August 4 Orioles - Gavin Williams vs Corbin Burnes
August 5 Diamondbacks - Gavin Williams vs Ryne Nelson
August 6 Diamondbacks - Ben Lively vs Zac Gallen
August 7 Diamondbacks - Carlos Carrasco vs Brandon Pfaadt

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.