Tuesday's game that pits the Cleveland Guardians (70-49) against the Chicago Cubs (59-61) at Progressive Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Guardians, who are a slight favorite in this matchup according to our model. First pitch is at 6:40 PM on August 13.
The Guardians will give the ball to Matthew Boyd and the Cubs will counter with Javier Assad (5-3, 3.24 ERA).
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Guardians vs. Cubs Game Info & Odds
- When: Tuesday, August 13, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: BSGL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Guardians vs. Cubs Score Prediction
- Our prediction for this game is Guardians 5, Cubs 4.
Total Prediction for Guardians vs. Cubs
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Guardians Performance Insights
- The Guardians are favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been the favorite in their last 10 games.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents are 6-2-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
- This season, the Guardians have won 43 out of the 65 games, or 66.2%, in which they've been favored.
- Cleveland has a record of 31-16, a 66% win rate, when favored by -130 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Guardians have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Cleveland has scored the 12th-most runs in the majors this season with 551 (4.6 per game).
- The Guardians' 3.80 team ERA ranks seventh across all MLB pitching staffs.
Cubs Performance Insights
- The Cubs have played as the underdog in four of their past 10 games and have gone 3-1 in those contests.
- In its last 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, Chicago and its foes are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 65 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (50.8%) in those games.
- Chicago has a win-loss record of 23-17 when favored by +105 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 48.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- Averaging 4.3 runs per game (511 total), Chicago is the 17th-highest scoring team in the majors.
- The Cubs have the third-best ERA (3.74) in the majors this season.
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Guardians Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 9 | @ Twins | L 4-2 | Joey Cantillo vs Bailey Ober |
| August 9 | @ Twins | L 6-3 | Alex Cobb vs Louie Varland |
| August 10 | @ Twins | W 2-1 | Gavin Williams vs Simeon Woods Richardson |
| August 11 | @ Twins | W 5-3 | Tanner Bibee vs David Festa |
| August 12 | Cubs | W 9-8 | Ben Lively vs Shota Imanaga |
| August 13 | Cubs | - | Matthew Boyd vs Javier Assad |
| August 14 | Cubs | - | Alex Cobb vs Jameson Taillon |
| August 16 | @ Brewers | - | Gavin Williams vs Aaron Civale |
| August 17 | @ Brewers | - | Tanner Bibee vs Freddy Peralta |
| August 18 | @ Brewers | - | Ben Lively vs Colin Rea |
| August 20 | @ Yankees | - | TBA vs TBA |
Cubs Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 6 | Twins | W 7-3 | Shota Imanaga vs Pablo Lopez |
| August 7 | Twins | W 8-2 | Javier Assad vs Joe Ryan |
| August 9 | @ White Sox | W 7-6 | Jameson Taillon vs Garrett Crochet |
| August 10 | @ White Sox | W 3-1 | Justin Steele vs Chris Flexen |
| August 12 | @ Guardians | L 9-8 | Shota Imanaga vs Ben Lively |
| August 13 | @ Guardians | - | Javier Assad vs Matthew Boyd |
| August 14 | @ Guardians | - | Jameson Taillon vs Alex Cobb |
| August 16 | Blue Jays | - | Justin Steele vs Yariel Rodriguez |
| August 17 | Blue Jays | - | Kyle Hendricks vs Chris Bassitt |
| August 18 | Blue Jays | - | Shota Imanaga vs Bowden Francis |
| August 20 | Tigers | - | TBA vs TBA |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.