Monday's game between the Tampa Bay Rays (59-58) and the Houston Astros (62-55) at Tropicana Field is expected to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Rays taking home the win. Game time is at 6:50 PM ET on August 12.
The Astros will give the nod to Framber Valdez (11-5, 3.46 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 12 on the season, and the Rays will counter with Taj Bradley (6-6, 3.07 ERA).
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Astros vs. Rays Game Info & Odds
- When: Monday, August 12, 2024 at 6:50 PM ET
- Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: BSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Astros vs. Rays Score Prediction
- Our pick for this matchup is Rays 5, Astros 4.
Total Prediction for Astros vs. Rays
- Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
Astros Performance Insights
- In seven games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Astros have a record of 5-2.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Houston and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
- This season, the Astros have been favored 83 times and won 46, or 55.4%, of those games.
- Houston has a record of 46-37, a 55.4% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Astros.
- Houston has scored 542 runs (4.6 per game) this season, which ranks 12th in MLB.
- The Astros have a 3.95 team ERA that ranks 12th among all MLB pitching staffs.
Rays Performance Insights
- The Rays have played as the underdog in eight of their past 10 games and have gone 3-5 in those contests.
- In its previous 10 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on three occasions.
- The Rays have won in 23, or 46.9%, of the 49 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Tampa Bay has been victorious 19 times in 43 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Rays have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Tampa Bay is the third-lowest scoring team in MLB play averaging 3.9 runs per game (460 total).
- Rays pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.02 ERA this year, which ranks 16th in MLB.
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Astros Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
August 6 | @ Rangers | W 4-2 | Framber Valdez vs Tyler Mahle |
August 7 | @ Rangers | W 6-4 | Yusei Kikuchi vs José Ureña |
August 9 | @ Red Sox | W 8-4 | Ronel Blanco vs Tanner Houck |
August 10 | @ Red Sox | W 5-4 | Spencer Arrighetti vs Josh Winckowski |
August 11 | @ Red Sox | W 10-2 | Hunter Brown vs James Paxton |
August 12 | @ Rays | - | Framber Valdez vs Taj Bradley |
August 13 | @ Rays | - | Yusei Kikuchi vs Shane Baz |
August 14 | @ Rays | - | Ronel Blanco vs Zack Littell |
August 16 | White Sox | - | Spencer Arrighetti vs Garrett Crochet |
August 17 | White Sox | - | TBA vs TBA |
August 18 | White Sox | - | TBA vs TBA |
Rays Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
August 7 | @ Cardinals | L 5-2 | Taj Bradley vs Erick Fedde |
August 8 | @ Cardinals | W 6-4 | Shane Baz vs Kyle Gibson |
August 9 | Orioles | L 4-1 | Zack Littell vs Zach Eflin |
August 10 | Orioles | L 7-5 | Drew Rasmussen vs Corbin Burnes |
August 11 | Orioles | W 2-1 | Jeffrey Springs vs Albert Suarez |
August 12 | Astros | - | Taj Bradley vs Framber Valdez |
August 13 | Astros | - | Shane Baz vs Yusei Kikuchi |
August 14 | Astros | - | Zack Littell vs Ronel Blanco |
August 16 | Diamondbacks | - | TBA vs Ryne Nelson |
August 17 | Diamondbacks | - | TBA vs TBA |
August 18 | Diamondbacks | - | TBA vs TBA |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.