Monday's contest features the Atlanta Braves (30-20) and the Washington Nationals (23-28) facing off at Truist Park (on May 27) at 4:10 PM. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 5-4 win for the Braves.

The Braves will give the nod to Charlie Morton (3-1, 3.35 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 4 on the season, and the Nationals will counter with Mitchell Parker (3-2, 3.32 ERA).

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Braves vs. Nationals Game Info & Odds

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Braves vs. Nationals Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this game is Braves 5, Nationals 4.

Total Prediction for Braves vs. Nationals

  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

Braves Performance Insights

  • In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Braves have a record of 2-7.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Atlanta and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Braves have been favorites in 45 games this season and won 28 (62.2%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta has a record of 11-3, a 78.6% win rate, when favored by -200 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 66.7%.
  • Atlanta has scored the 13th-most runs in the majors this season with 232 (4.6 per game).
  • The Braves' 3.39 team ERA ranks seventh across all MLB pitching staffs.

Nationals Performance Insights

  • In 10 games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 3-7.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, Washington and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on four occasions.
  • The Nationals have won in 20, or 43.5%, of the 46 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Washington has won five of nine games when listed as at least +165 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 37.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Washington scores the fifth-fewest runs in baseball (204 total, four per game).
  • The Nationals have pitched to a 3.98 ERA this season, which ranks 15th in baseball.

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Braves Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 22 @ Cubs W 9-2 Max Fried vs Justin Steele
May 23 @ Cubs W 3-0 AJ Smith-Shawver vs Ben Brown
May 24 @ Pirates L 11-5 Raymond Kerr vs Bailey Falter
May 25 @ Pirates L 4-1 Reynaldo López vs Mitch Keller
May 26 @ Pirates W 8-1 Chris Sale vs Martín Pérez
May 27 Nationals - Charlie Morton vs Mitchell Parker
May 28 Nationals - Max Fried vs Jake Irvin
May 29 Nationals - TBA vs MacKenzie Gore
May 30 Nationals - Reynaldo López vs Trevor Williams
May 31 Athletics - Chris Sale vs JP Sears
June 1 Athletics - Charlie Morton vs Aaron Brooks

Nationals Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 21 Twins L 10-0 Patrick Corbin vs Joe Ryan
May 22 Twins L 3-2 Jake Irvin vs Simeon Woods Richardson
May 24 Mariners W 6-1 MacKenzie Gore vs George Kirby
May 25 Mariners W 3-1 Trevor Williams vs Logan Gilbert
May 26 Mariners L 9-5 Patrick Corbin vs Bryan Woo
May 27 @ Braves - Mitchell Parker vs Charlie Morton
May 28 @ Braves - Jake Irvin vs Max Fried
May 29 @ Braves - MacKenzie Gore vs TBA
May 30 @ Braves - Trevor Williams vs Reynaldo López
May 31 @ Guardians - Mitchell Parker vs Tanner Bibee
June 1 @ Guardians - Patrick Corbin vs Ben Lively

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.