Saturday's game that pits the San Diego Padres (64-52) against the Miami Marlins (43-73) at LoanDepot park has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Padres. Game time is at 4:10 PM ET on August 10.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Padres will send Matt Waldron (7-9) to the mound, while Roddery Munoz (2-6) will take the ball for the Marlins.

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Padres vs. Marlins Game Info & Odds

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Padres vs. Marlins Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this game is Padres 5, Marlins 4.

Total Prediction for Padres vs. Marlins

  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

Padres Performance Insights

  • In eight games over the last 10 matchups when favored by bookmakers, the Padres have a record of 7-1.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
  • The Padres have been favorites in 61 games this season and won 34 (55.7%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has a record of 12-7, a 63.2% win rate, when favored by -165 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • San Diego has scored the 11th-most runs in the majors this season with 548 (4.7 per game).
  • The Padres have a 3.99 team ERA that ranks 15th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Marlins Performance Insights

  • The Marlins have played as the underdog in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 4-6 in those contests.
  • In its previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, Miami and its opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Marlins have been victorious in 38, or 39.6%, of the 96 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Miami has won 17 of 48 games when listed as at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • The offense for Miami is No. 29 in MLB play scoring 3.6 runs per game (423 total runs).
  • The Marlins have pitched to a 4.55 ERA this season, which ranks 27th in baseball.

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Padres Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
August 3 Rockies W 3-2 Martín Pérez vs Tanner Gordon
August 4 Rockies W 10-2 Matt Waldron vs Cal Quantrill
August 6 @ Pirates W 6-0 Dylan Cease vs Bailey Falter
August 7 @ Pirates W 9-8 Michael King vs Marco Gonzales
August 8 @ Pirates W 7-6 Randy Vasquez vs Luis Ortiz
August 10 @ Marlins - Matt Waldron vs Roddery Munoz
August 11 @ Marlins - Dylan Cease vs Max Meyer
August 12 Pirates - Michael King vs Marco Gonzales
August 13 Pirates - Randy Vasquez vs Luis Ortiz
August 14 Pirates - Martín Pérez vs Mitch Keller
August 16 @ Rockies - TBA vs TBA

Marlins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
August 4 @ Braves W 7-0 Edward Cabrera vs Max Fried
August 5 Reds L 10-3 Roddery Munoz vs Nick Martínez
August 6 Reds L 8-2 Max Meyer vs Nick Lodolo
August 7 Reds W 6-4 Valente Bellozo vs Andrew Abbott
August 8 Reds L 10-4 Kyle Tyler vs Hunter Greene
August 10 Padres - Roddery Munoz vs Matt Waldron
August 11 Padres - Max Meyer vs Dylan Cease
August 13 @ Phillies - Valente Bellozo vs Tyler Phillips
August 14 @ Phillies - Kyle Tyler vs TBA
August 16 @ Mets - TBA vs TBA
August 17 @ Mets - TBA vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.