Friday's contest at Truist Park has the Atlanta Braves (36-30) squaring off against the Tampa Bay Rays (33-36) at 7:20 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 4-3 win for the Braves, who are a small favorite based on our model.

The Braves will look to Chris Sale (8-2) against the Rays and Zack Littell (2-4).

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Braves vs. Rays Game Info & Odds

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Braves vs. Rays Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this contest is Braves 4, Rays 3.

Total Prediction for Braves vs. Rays

  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

Braves Performance Insights

  • The Braves have played as the favorite in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Atlanta and its opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Braves have been favorites in 58 games this season and won 33 (56.9%) of those contests.
  • This season Atlanta has won 11 of its 15 games, or 73.3%, when favored by at least -227 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 69.4% chance to win.
  • Atlanta ranks 19th in the majors with 287 total runs scored this season.
  • The Braves have a 3.70 team ERA that ranks eighth across all league pitching staffs.

Rays Performance Insights

  • In four games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have posted a mark of 1-3.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on four occasions.
  • The Rays have come away with eight wins in the 22 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Tampa Bay has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +180.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 35.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Tampa Bay scores the 25th-most runs in baseball (266 total, 3.9 per game).
  • The Rays have pitched to a 4.32 ERA this season, which ranks 24th in baseball.

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Braves Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 8 @ Nationals L 7-3 Charlie Morton vs MacKenzie Gore
June 9 @ Nationals L 8-5 Hurston Waldrep vs DJ Herz
June 11 @ Orioles L 4-0 Max Fried vs Albert Suarez
June 12 @ Orioles L 4-2 Spencer Schwellenbach vs Cade Povich
June 13 @ Orioles W 6-3 Reynaldo López vs Cole Irvin
June 14 Rays - Chris Sale vs Zack Littell
June 15 Rays - Charlie Morton vs Ryan Pepiot
June 16 Rays - Hurston Waldrep vs Zach Eflin
June 17 Tigers - Max Fried vs Reese Olson
June 18 Tigers - Spencer Schwellenbach vs Casey Mize
June 19 Tigers - Reynaldo López vs Tarik Skubal

Rays Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 9 Orioles L 9-2 Zack Littell vs Grayson Rodriguez
June 10 Orioles L 5-2 Ryan Pepiot vs Corbin Burnes
June 11 Cubs W 5-2 Zach Eflin vs Jameson Taillon
June 12 Cubs L 4-3 Aaron Civale vs Javier Assad
June 13 Cubs W 3-2 Taj Bradley vs Justin Steele
June 14 @ Braves - Zack Littell vs Chris Sale
June 15 @ Braves - Ryan Pepiot vs Charlie Morton
June 16 @ Braves - Zach Eflin vs Hurston Waldrep
June 18 @ Twins - Aaron Civale vs Pablo Lopez
June 19 @ Twins - Taj Bradley vs Joe Ryan
June 20 @ Twins - Zack Littell vs Simeon Woods Richardson

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.