Saturday's game features the Atlanta Braves (37-30) and the Tampa Bay Rays (33-37) squaring off at Truist Park (on June 15) at 4:10 PM. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 5-4 victory for the Braves.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Braves will send Charlie Morton (3-3) to the mound, while Ryan Pepiot (4-3) will get the nod for the Rays.

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Braves vs. Rays Game Info & Odds

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Braves vs. Rays Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this contest is Braves 5, Rays 4.

Total Prediction for Braves vs. Rays

  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

Braves Performance Insights

  • In seven games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Braves have a record of 3-4.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Atlanta and its opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • This season, the Braves have won 34 out of the 59 games, or 57.6%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Atlanta has won 30 of its 50 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Atlanta ranks 17th in the majors with 294 total runs scored this season.
  • The Braves have a 3.69 team ERA that ranks eighth among all league pitching staffs.

Rays Performance Insights

  • The Rays have been underdogs four times over their past 10 games and lost every one of those contests.
  • When it comes to the over/under, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 5-4-1 in its last 10 games.
  • The Rays have been victorious in eight, or 34.8%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Tampa Bay has won three of 10 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Averaging 3.8 runs per game (269 total), Tampa Bay is the 25th-highest scoring team in the majors.
  • Rays pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.35 ERA this year, which ranks 24th in MLB.

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Braves Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 9 @ Nationals L 8-5 Hurston Waldrep vs DJ Herz
June 11 @ Orioles L 4-0 Max Fried vs Albert Suarez
June 12 @ Orioles L 4-2 Spencer Schwellenbach vs Cade Povich
June 13 @ Orioles W 6-3 Reynaldo López vs Cole Irvin
June 14 Rays W 7-3 Chris Sale vs Zack Littell
June 15 Rays - Charlie Morton vs Ryan Pepiot
June 16 Rays - Hurston Waldrep vs Zach Eflin
June 17 Tigers - Max Fried vs Reese Olson
June 18 Tigers - Spencer Schwellenbach vs Casey Mize
June 19 Tigers - Reynaldo López vs Tarik Skubal
June 21 @ Yankees - Chris Sale vs Luis Gil

Rays Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 10 Orioles L 5-2 Ryan Pepiot vs Corbin Burnes
June 11 Cubs W 5-2 Zach Eflin vs Jameson Taillon
June 12 Cubs L 4-3 Aaron Civale vs Javier Assad
June 13 Cubs W 3-2 Taj Bradley vs Justin Steele
June 14 @ Braves L 7-3 Zack Littell vs Chris Sale
June 15 @ Braves - Ryan Pepiot vs Charlie Morton
June 16 @ Braves - Zach Eflin vs Hurston Waldrep
June 18 @ Twins - Aaron Civale vs Pablo Lopez
June 19 @ Twins - Taj Bradley vs Joe Ryan
June 20 @ Twins - Zack Littell vs Simeon Woods Richardson
June 21 @ Pirates - Ryan Pepiot vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.