Monday's game between the San Diego Padres (66-53) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-61) at PETCO Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Padres securing the victory. Game time is at 9:40 PM ET on August 12.

The Padres will call on Joe Musgrove (3-4) versus the Pirates and Marco Gonzales (1-1).

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Padres vs. Pirates Game Info & Odds

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Padres vs. Pirates Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this contest is Padres 5, Pirates 4.

Total Prediction for Padres vs. Pirates

  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

Read More About This Game

  • How to Watch Padres vs. Pirates
  • Padres Performance Insights

    • The Padres have played as the favorite in 10 of their past 10 games and won eight of those contests.
    • In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
    • This season, the Padres have been favored 64 times and won 36, or 56.2%, of those games.
    • San Diego has a record of 5-5 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -200 on the moneyline.
    • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 66.7% chance to win.
    • San Diego is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking eighth with 569 total runs this season.
    • The Padres have the 15th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.00).

    Pirates Performance Insights

    • In seven games as the underdog over the last 10 contests, the Pirates were upset in every contest.
    • When it comes to the total, Pittsburgh and its foes are 7-3-0 in its last 10 contests.
    • The Pirates have won in 31, or 47%, of the 66 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
    • Pittsburgh has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +165 or worse on the moneyline this season.
    • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 37.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
    • Averaging 4.2 runs per game (493 total), Pittsburgh is the 21st-highest scoring team in baseball.
    • Pirates pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.97 ERA this year, which ranks 13th in MLB.

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    Padres Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    August 7 @ Pirates W 9-8 Michael King vs Marco Gonzales
    August 8 @ Pirates W 7-6 Randy Vasquez vs Luis Ortiz
    August 9 @ Marlins W 6-2 Martín Pérez vs Edward Cabrera
    August 10 @ Marlins W 9-8 Matt Waldron vs Roddery Munoz
    August 11 @ Marlins L 7-6 Dylan Cease vs Max Meyer
    August 12 Pirates - Joe Musgrove vs Marco Gonzales
    August 13 Pirates - Michael King vs Luis Ortiz
    August 14 Pirates - Martín Pérez vs Mitch Keller
    August 16 @ Rockies - Matt Waldron vs TBA
    August 17 @ Rockies - Dylan Cease vs Kyle Freeland
    August 18 @ Rockies - TBA vs TBA

    Pirates Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    August 7 Padres L 9-8 Marco Gonzales vs Michael King
    August 8 Padres L 7-6 Luis Ortiz vs Randy Vasquez
    August 9 @ Dodgers L 9-5 Mitch Keller vs Jack Flaherty
    August 10 @ Dodgers L 4-1 Paul Skenes vs River Ryan
    August 11 @ Dodgers L 6-5 Bailey Falter vs Tyler Glasnow
    August 12 @ Padres - Marco Gonzales vs Joe Musgrove
    August 13 @ Padres - Luis Ortiz vs Michael King
    August 14 @ Padres - Mitch Keller vs Martín Pérez
    August 16 Mariners - Paul Skenes vs Logan Gilbert
    August 17 Mariners - Bailey Falter vs Luis Castillo
    August 18 Mariners - TBA vs TBA

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    dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.