Wednesday's game features the Philadelphia Phillies (43-19) and the Milwaukee Brewers (36-25) clashing at Citizens Bank Park in what is expected to be a competitive matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Phillies according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 4:05 PM ET on June 5.
The Phillies will give the ball to Aaron Nola (7-2, 3.03 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 8 on the season, and the Brewers will turn to Aaron Ashby.
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Phillies vs. Brewers Game Info & Odds
- When: Wednesday, June 5, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Phillies vs. Brewers Score Prediction
- Our prediction for this matchup is Phillies 5, Brewers 4.
Total Prediction for Phillies vs. Brewers
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Phillies Performance Insights
- The Phillies have played as the favorite in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 6-3 in those contests.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Philadelphia and its opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
- This season, the Phillies have won 33 out of the 47 games, or 70.2%, in which they've been favored.
- Philadelphia has a record of 19-6, a 76% win rate, when favored by -175 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Phillies have a 63.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Philadelphia has scored the most runs (318) in baseball so far this year.
- The Phillies' 2.97 team ERA ranks second among all MLB pitching staffs.
Brewers Performance Insights
- In four games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Brewers have posted a mark of 1-3.
- In its last 10 games with an over/under, Milwaukee and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.
- The Brewers have won in 17, or 58.6%, of the 29 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Milwaukee has been listed as an underdog of +145 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 40.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- The offense for Milwaukee is No. 2 in MLB, scoring five runs per game (306 total runs).
- Brewers pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.78 ERA this year, which ranks 11th in MLB.
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Phillies Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | Cardinals | W 4-2 | Aaron Nola vs Miles Mikolas |
| June 1 | Cardinals | W 6-1 | Ranger Suárez vs Sonny Gray |
| June 2 | Cardinals | L 5-4 | Taijuan Walker vs Lance Lynn |
| June 3 | Brewers | W 3-1 | Zack Wheeler vs Jared Koenig |
| June 4 | Brewers | W 2-1 | Cristopher Sanchez vs Jared Koenig |
| June 5 | Brewers | - | Aaron Nola vs Aaron Ashby |
| June 8 | @ Mets | - | Ranger Suárez vs Sean Manaea |
| June 9 | Mets | - | Taijuan Walker vs José Quintana |
| June 11 | @ Red Sox | - | Zack Wheeler vs Nick Pivetta |
| June 12 | @ Red Sox | - | TBA vs TBA |
| June 13 | @ Red Sox | - | TBA vs TBA |
Brewers Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | White Sox | W 12-5 | Tobias Myers vs Erick Fedde |
| June 1 | White Sox | W 4-3 | Robert Gasser vs Garrett Crochet |
| June 2 | White Sox | W 6-3 | Freddy Peralta vs Nick Nastrini |
| June 3 | @ Phillies | L 3-1 | Jared Koenig vs Zack Wheeler |
| June 4 | @ Phillies | L 2-1 | Jared Koenig vs Cristopher Sanchez |
| June 5 | @ Phillies | - | Aaron Ashby vs Aaron Nola |
| June 7 | @ Tigers | - | Robert Gasser vs Reese Olson |
| June 8 | @ Tigers | - | Freddy Peralta vs Casey Mize |
| June 9 | @ Tigers | - | Bryse Wilson vs Tarik Skubal |
| June 10 | Blue Jays | - | Colin Rea vs José Berríos |
| June 11 | Blue Jays | - | TBA vs Yusei Kikuchi |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.