Tuesday's game at Target Field has the Minnesota Twins (66-52) taking on the Kansas City Royals (65-54) at 7:40 PM ET (on August 13). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Twins, so expect a tight matchup.

The Royals will look to Seth Lugo (13-6) against the Twins and Zebby Matthews.

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Royals vs. Twins Game Info & Odds

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Royals vs. Twins Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this game is Twins 5, Royals 4.

Total Prediction for Royals vs. Twins

  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

Royals Performance Insights

  • The Royals have played as the favorite in eight of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Kansas City and its opponents are 8-2-0 in its last 10 games with a total.
  • This season, the Royals have been favored 54 times and won 35, or 64.8%, of those games.
  • Kansas City is 35-19 this season when entering a game favored by -115 or more on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Royals.
  • Kansas City has scored the 10th-most runs in the majors this season with 570.
  • The Royals have the eighth-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.83).

Twins Performance Insights

  • The Twins are underdogs for the first time in a while, as they have not been listed as underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, Minnesota and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on five occasions.
  • The Twins have come away with 12 wins in the 32 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Minnesota has won nine of 27 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • The offense for Minnesota is No. 6 in the majors, scoring 4.9 runs per game (574 total runs).
  • The Twins have the 18th-ranked ERA (4.13) in the majors this season.

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Royals Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
August 6 Red Sox L 6-5 Seth Lugo vs Brayan Bello
August 7 Red Sox W 8-4 Cole Ragans vs Kutter Crawford
August 9 Cardinals L 8-5 Michael Lorenzen vs Miles Mikolas
August 10 Cardinals W 8-3 Michael Wacha vs Andre Pallante
August 12 @ Twins L 8-3 Brady Singer vs Pablo Lopez
August 13 @ Twins - Seth Lugo vs Zebby Matthews
August 14 @ Twins - Cole Ragans vs Bailey Ober
August 16 @ Reds - Michael Lorenzen vs Nick Martínez
August 17 @ Reds - Michael Wacha vs Nick Lodolo
August 18 @ Reds - Brady Singer vs Andrew Abbott
August 19 Angels - TBA vs TBA

Twins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
August 9 Guardians W 4-2 Bailey Ober vs Joey Cantillo
August 9 Guardians W 6-3 Louie Varland vs Alex Cobb
August 10 Guardians L 2-1 Simeon Woods Richardson vs Gavin Williams
August 11 Guardians L 5-3 David Festa vs Tanner Bibee
August 12 Royals W 8-3 Pablo Lopez vs Brady Singer
August 13 Royals - Zebby Matthews vs Seth Lugo
August 14 Royals - Bailey Ober vs Cole Ragans
August 15 @ Rangers - Simeon Woods Richardson vs Cody Bradford
August 16 @ Rangers - David Festa vs Nathan Eovaldi
August 17 @ Rangers - Pablo Lopez vs Andrew Heaney
August 18 @ Rangers - TBA vs Tyler Mahle

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.