Monday's contest that pits the St. Louis Cardinals (57-55) against the New York Mets (58-53) at Busch Stadium is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Cardinals. First pitch is at 5:15 PM ET on August 5.

The Mets will give the ball to Sean Manaea (7-4, 3.50 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 8 on the season, and the Cardinals will counter with Andre Pallante (4-5, 4.04 ERA).

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Mets vs. Cardinals Game Info & Odds

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Mets vs. Cardinals Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this matchup is Cardinals 5, Mets 4.

Total Prediction for Mets vs. Cardinals

  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

Mets Performance Insights

  • The Mets have played as the favorite in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 4-3 in those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, New York and its opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
  • This season, the Mets have won 32 out of the 59 games, or 54.2%, in which they've been favored.
  • New York is 27-23 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
  • New York is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking eighth with 537 total runs this season.
  • The Mets have a 4.15 team ERA that ranks 19th among all league pitching staffs.

Cardinals Performance Insights

  • In five games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Cardinals have posted a mark of 3-2.
  • In its last 10 games with an over/under, St. Louis and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total eight times.
  • The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 53 games this year and have walked away with the win 26 times (49.1%) in those games.
  • This season, St. Louis has been victorious 16 times in 39 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Averaging 4.2 runs per game (468 total), St. Louis is the 21st-highest scoring team in MLB.
  • The Cardinals have the 18th-ranked ERA (4.09) in the majors this season.

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Mets Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
July 30 Twins W 2-0 Sean Manaea vs David Festa
July 31 Twins L 8-3 Luis Severino vs Pablo Lopez
August 2 @ Angels W 5-1 Paul Blackburn vs Tyler Anderson
August 3 @ Angels L 5-4 David Peterson vs José Soriano
August 4 @ Angels L 3-2 José Quintana vs Griffin Canning
August 5 @ Cardinals - Sean Manaea vs Andre Pallante
August 6 @ Rockies - Luis Severino vs Kyle Freeland
August 7 @ Rockies - Paul Blackburn vs Ryan Feltner
August 8 @ Rockies - David Peterson vs Austin Gomber
August 9 @ Mariners - José Quintana vs Bryce Miller
August 10 @ Mariners - Sean Manaea vs Logan Gilbert

Cardinals Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
July 31 Rangers W 10-1 Michael McGreevy vs Andrew Heaney
August 1 @ Cubs L 5-4 Sonny Gray vs Shota Imanaga
August 2 @ Cubs L 6-3 Erick Fedde vs Javier Assad
August 3 @ Cubs W 5-4 Kyle Gibson vs Jameson Taillon
August 4 @ Cubs L 6-2 Miles Mikolas vs Justin Steele
August 5 Mets - Andre Pallante vs Sean Manaea
August 6 Rays - Sonny Gray vs Jeffrey Springs
August 7 Rays - Erick Fedde vs Taj Bradley
August 8 Rays - Kyle Gibson vs Shane Baz
August 9 @ Royals - Miles Mikolas vs Michael Lorenzen
August 10 @ Royals - Andre Pallante vs Michael Wacha

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.