Sunday's game at Progressive Field has the Cleveland Guardians (67-43) squaring off against the Baltimore Orioles (66-46) at 1:40 PM ET (on August 4). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 victory for the Guardians, so expect a competitive matchup.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Orioles will send Corbin Burnes (11-4) to the mound, while Gavin Williams (1-3) will answer the bell for the Guardians.

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Orioles vs. Guardians Game Info & Odds

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Orioles vs. Guardians Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this contest is Guardians 5, Orioles 4.

Total Prediction for Orioles vs. Guardians

  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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    • Orioles Performance Insights

    • The Orioles have played as the favorite in eight of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
    • When it comes to hitting the over, Baltimore and its opponents are 9-1-0 in its last 10 games with a total.
    • This season, the Orioles have won 51 out of the 84 games, or 60.7%, in which they've been favored.
    • Baltimore has a record of 33-23, a 58.9% win rate, when favored by -140 or more by oddsmakers this season.
    • The Orioles have a 58.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
    • Baltimore has scored 567 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB.
    • The Orioles have a 3.89 team ERA that ranks 12th among all league pitching staffs.

    Guardians Performance Insights

    • In five games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Guardians have a record of 3-2.
    • In its last 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, Cleveland and its foes are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
    • The Guardians have been underdogs in 36 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (50%) in those contests.
    • This season, Cleveland has come away with a win nine times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
    • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
    • Averaging 4.7 runs per game (513 total), Cleveland is the 12th-highest scoring team in the majors.
    • The Guardians have pitched to a 3.67 ERA this season, which ranks fourth in baseball.

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    Orioles Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    July 30 Blue Jays W 6-2 Corbin Burnes vs Chris Bassitt
    July 31 Blue Jays W 10-4 Grayson Rodriguez vs Paolo Espino
    August 1 @ Guardians L 10-3 Trevor Rogers vs Ben Lively
    August 2 @ Guardians L 8-4 Dean Kremer vs Carlos Carrasco
    August 3 @ Guardians W 7-4 Zach Eflin vs Joey Cantillo
    August 4 @ Guardians - Corbin Burnes vs Gavin Williams
    August 6 @ Blue Jays - Grayson Rodriguez vs Chris Bassitt
    August 7 @ Blue Jays - Trevor Rogers vs Paolo Espino
    August 8 @ Blue Jays - Dean Kremer vs Kevin Gausman
    August 9 @ Rays - Zach Eflin vs Zack Littell
    August 10 @ Rays - Corbin Burnes vs TBA

    Guardians Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    July 29 @ Tigers W 8-4 Tanner Bibee vs Beau Brieske
    July 30 @ Tigers W 5-0 Gavin Williams vs Tyler Holton
    August 1 Orioles W 10-3 Ben Lively vs Trevor Rogers
    August 2 Orioles W 8-4 Carlos Carrasco vs Dean Kremer
    August 3 Orioles L 7-4 Joey Cantillo vs Zach Eflin
    August 4 Orioles - Gavin Williams vs Corbin Burnes
    August 5 Diamondbacks - Gavin Williams vs Ryne Nelson
    August 6 Diamondbacks - Ben Lively vs Zac Gallen
    August 7 Diamondbacks - Carlos Carrasco vs Brandon Pfaadt
    August 9 @ Twins - Joey Cantillo vs Bailey Ober
    August 9 @ Twins - TBA vs TBA

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    dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.