Friday's contest at LoanDepot park has the San Diego Padres (64-52) going head to head against the Miami Marlins (43-73) at 7:10 PM ET (on August 9). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 6-5 win for the Padres, so expect a tight matchup.

The Padres will give the ball to Martin Perez (2-5, 4.96 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 3 on the season, and the Marlins will turn to Edward Cabrera (2-3, 5.96 ERA).

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Padres vs. Marlins Game Info & Odds

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Padres vs. Marlins Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this game is Padres 6, Marlins 5.

Total Prediction for Padres vs. Marlins

  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

Explore More About This Game

  • How to Watch Padres vs. Marlins

    • Padres Performance Insights

    • In eight games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 7-1.
    • San Diego and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its last 10 games with a total.
    • The Padres have won 34, or 55.7%, of the 61 games they've played as favorites this season.
    • San Diego has a record of 20-16 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -145 on the moneyline.
    • The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Padres.
    • San Diego has scored 548 runs (4.7 per game) this season, which ranks 11th in MLB.
    • The Padres have the 15th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.99).

    Marlins Performance Insights

    • In 10 games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 4-6.
    • In its previous 10 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on six occasions.
    • The Marlins have won in 38, or 39.6%, of the 96 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
    • Miami has a win-loss record of 23-40 when favored by +120 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
    • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
    • Miami scores the second-fewest runs in baseball (423 total, 3.6 per game).
    • The Marlins have pitched to a 4.55 ERA this season, which ranks 27th in baseball.

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    Padres Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    August 3 Rockies W 3-2 Martín Pérez vs Tanner Gordon
    August 4 Rockies W 10-2 Matt Waldron vs Cal Quantrill
    August 6 @ Pirates W 6-0 Dylan Cease vs Bailey Falter
    August 7 @ Pirates W 9-8 Michael King vs Marco Gonzales
    August 8 @ Pirates W 7-6 Randy Vasquez vs Luis Ortiz
    August 9 @ Marlins - Martín Pérez vs Edward Cabrera
    August 10 @ Marlins - Matt Waldron vs Roddery Munoz
    August 11 @ Marlins - Dylan Cease vs Max Meyer
    August 12 Pirates - Michael King vs Marco Gonzales
    August 13 Pirates - Randy Vasquez vs Luis Ortiz
    August 14 Pirates - Martín Pérez vs Mitch Keller

    Marlins Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    August 4 @ Braves W 7-0 Edward Cabrera vs Max Fried
    August 5 Reds L 10-3 Roddery Munoz vs Nick Martínez
    August 6 Reds L 8-2 Max Meyer vs Nick Lodolo
    August 7 Reds W 6-4 Valente Bellozo vs Andrew Abbott
    August 8 Reds L 10-4 Kyle Tyler vs Hunter Greene
    August 9 Padres - Edward Cabrera vs Martín Pérez
    August 10 Padres - Roddery Munoz vs Matt Waldron
    August 11 Padres - Max Meyer vs Dylan Cease
    August 13 @ Phillies - Valente Bellozo vs Tyler Phillips
    August 14 @ Phillies - Kyle Tyler vs TBA
    August 16 @ Mets - TBA vs TBA

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    dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.