Thursday's contest that pits the New York Yankees (56-38) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (45-47) at Tropicana Field should be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 4-3 in favor of the Yankees. Game time is at 6:50 PM ET on July 11.
The Yankees will call on Nestor Cortes Jr. (4-7) versus the Rays and Shane Baz (0-1).
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Yankees vs. Rays Game Info & Odds
- When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 6:50 PM ET
- Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: BSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Yankees vs. Rays Score Prediction
- Our prediction for this contest is Yankees 4, Rays 3.
Total Prediction for Yankees vs. Rays
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
Read More About This Game
Yankees Performance Insights
- In eight games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Yankees have a record of 1-7.
- New York and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its last 10 games with a total.
- The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 70 times this season and won 40, or 57.1%, of those games.
- New York has a record of 38-28 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
- The Yankees have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- New York has scored the most runs (469) in baseball so far this year.
- The Yankees' 3.59 team ERA ranks fourth among all league pitching staffs.
Rays Performance Insights
- The Rays have played as the underdog in four of their past 10 games and have gone 2-2 in those contests.
- When it comes to the total, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 4-6-0 in its last 10 games.
- The Rays have been underdogs in 34 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (44.1%) in those contests.
- This year, Tampa Bay has won 11 of 26 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.
- Tampa Bay scores the fifth-fewest runs in baseball (365 total, four per game).
- The Rays have pitched to a 4.31 ERA this season, which ranks 22nd in baseball.
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Yankees Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 5 | Red Sox | L 5-3 | Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Tanner Houck |
| July 6 | Red Sox | W 14-4 | Gerrit Cole vs Josh Winckowski |
| July 7 | Red Sox | L 3-0 | Luis Gil vs Kutter Crawford |
| July 9 | @ Rays | L 5-3 | Carlos Rodón vs Carlos Rodón |
| July 10 | @ Rays | W 2-1 | Marcus Stroman vs Zach Eflin |
| July 11 | @ Rays | - | Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Shane Baz |
| July 12 | @ Orioles | - | Gerrit Cole vs Cade Povich |
| July 13 | @ Orioles | - | Luis Gil vs Grayson Rodriguez |
| July 14 | @ Orioles | - | Carlos Rodón vs Dean Kremer |
| July 19 | Rays | - | TBA vs TBA |
| July 20 | Rays | - | TBA vs TBA |
Rays Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 5 | @ Rangers | L 3-0 | Shane Baz vs Michael Lorenzen |
| July 6 | @ Rangers | L 4-3 | Taj Bradley vs Andrew Heaney |
| July 7 | @ Rangers | L 13-2 | Zack Littell vs Nathan Eovaldi |
| July 9 | Yankees | W 5-3 | Carlos Rodón vs Carlos Rodón |
| July 10 | Yankees | L 2-1 | Zach Eflin vs Marcus Stroman |
| July 11 | Yankees | - | Shane Baz vs Nestor Cortes Jr. |
| July 12 | Guardians | - | Taj Bradley vs Carlos Carrasco |
| July 13 | Guardians | - | Zack Littell vs Gavin Williams |
| July 14 | Guardians | - | Ryan Pepiot vs Ben Lively |
| July 19 | @ Yankees | - | TBA vs TBA |
| July 20 | @ Yankees | - | TBA vs TBA |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.