Monday's game between the Cincinnati Reds (36-41) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (37-40) at Great American Ball Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Reds securing the victory. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET on June 24.
The Reds will give the nod to Carson Spiers (0-1, 3.20 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 1 on the season, and the Pirates will turn to Bailey Falter (3-5, 3.74 ERA).
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Reds vs. Pirates Game Info & Odds
- When: Monday, June 24, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Reds vs. Pirates Score Prediction
- Our pick for this matchup is Reds 5, Pirates 4.
Total Prediction for Reds vs. Pirates
- Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Reds Performance Insights
- Over the past 10 games, the Reds have been favored twice and split those games 1-1.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Cincinnati and its opponents are 2-7-1 in its last 10 games with a total.
- The Reds have been favorites in 30 games this season and won 18 (60%) of those contests.
- This season Cincinnati has won 18 of its 30 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Reds.
- Cincinnati has scored the 19th-most runs in the majors this season with 321 (4.2 per game).
- The Reds' 3.81 team ERA ranks 10th among all MLB pitching staffs.
Pirates Performance Insights
- In three games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have posted a mark of 1-2.
- In its last 10 games with an over/under, Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total two times.
- The Pirates have been victorious in 22, or 55%, of the 40 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 17 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 51.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Averaging four runs per game (307 total), Pittsburgh is the 24th-highest scoring team in the majors.
- The Pirates have pitched to a 3.97 ERA this season, which ranks 16th in baseball.
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Reds Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 18 | @ Pirates | W 2-1 | Nick Lodolo vs Bailey Falter |
| June 19 | @ Pirates | L 1-0 | Hunter Greene vs Mitch Keller |
| June 21 | Red Sox | W 5-2 | Andrew Abbott vs Kutter Crawford |
| June 22 | Red Sox | L 4-3 | Frankie Montás vs Nick Pivetta |
| June 23 | Red Sox | L 7-4 | Nick Lodolo vs Zack Kelly |
| June 24 | Pirates | - | Carson Spiers vs Bailey Falter |
| June 25 | Pirates | - | Hunter Greene vs Mitch Keller |
| June 26 | Pirates | - | Andrew Abbott vs TBA |
| June 27 | @ Cardinals | - | Frankie Montás vs Miles Mikolas |
| June 28 | @ Cardinals | - | Nick Lodolo vs Sonny Gray |
| June 29 | @ Cardinals | - | TBA vs Lance Lynn |
Pirates Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 18 | Reds | L 2-1 | Bailey Falter vs Nick Lodolo |
| June 19 | Reds | W 1-0 | Mitch Keller vs Hunter Greene |
| June 21 | Rays | L 10-3 | Carmen Mlodzinski vs Ryan Pepiot |
| June 22 | Rays | W 4-3 | Jared Jones vs Zach Eflin |
| June 23 | Rays | L 3-1 | Paul Skenes vs Aaron Civale |
| June 24 | @ Reds | - | Bailey Falter vs Carson Spiers |
| June 25 | @ Reds | - | Mitch Keller vs Hunter Greene |
| June 26 | @ Reds | - | TBA vs Andrew Abbott |
| June 28 | @ Braves | - | Jared Jones vs Max Fried |
| June 29 | @ Braves | - | Paul Skenes vs Spencer Schwellenbach |
| June 30 | @ Braves | - | TBA vs TBA |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.