Thursday's game between the Minnesota Twins (48-37) and Detroit Tigers (38-47) squaring off at Target Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Twins, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will begin at 1:10 PM ET on July 4.
The Twins will give the nod to Bailey Ober (7-4, 4.30 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 8 on the season, and the Tigers will counter with Kenta Maeda (2-4, 5.76 ERA).
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Twins vs. Tigers Game Info & Odds
- When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
- Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- How to Watch on TV: BSN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Twins vs. Tigers Score Prediction
- Our pick for this game is Twins 5, Tigers 4.
Total Prediction for Twins vs. Tigers
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Twins Performance Insights
- In six games over the last 10 matchups when favored by bookmakers, the Twins have a record of 4-2.
- Minnesota and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its last 10 games with a total.
- This season, the Twins have won 33 out of the 53 games, or 62.3%, in which they've been favored.
- Minnesota has a record of 18-6 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -165 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 62.3% chance to win.
- Minnesota is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking ninth with 409 total runs this season.
- The Twins have a 4.08 team ERA that ranks 19th among all league pitching staffs.
Tigers Performance Insights
- In four games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Tigers have posted a mark of 1-3.
- When it comes to the total, Detroit and its opponents are 5-5-0 in its previous 10 games.
- The Tigers have been underdogs in 43 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (39.5%) in those contests.
- Detroit has won all of its three games in which it was named as at least a +140 moneyline underdog.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Averaging four runs per game (344 total), Detroit is the 22nd-highest scoring team in the majors.
- Tigers pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.94 ERA this year, which ranks 13th in MLB.
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Twins Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 27 | @ Diamondbacks | W 13-6 | David Festa vs Jordan Montgomery |
| June 28 | @ Mariners | L 3-2 | Bailey Ober vs Logan Gilbert |
| June 29 | @ Mariners | W 5-1 | Pablo Lopez vs Bryce Miller |
| June 30 | @ Mariners | W 5-3 | Joe Ryan vs Luis Castillo |
| July 2 | Tigers | W 5-3 | Simeon Woods Richardson vs Tarik Skubal |
| July 4 | Tigers | - | Bailey Ober vs Kenta Maeda |
| July 5 | Astros | - | Pablo Lopez vs TBA |
| July 6 | Astros | - | Joe Ryan vs Hunter Brown |
| July 7 | Astros | - | Simeon Woods Richardson vs Spencer Arrighetti |
| July 8 | @ White Sox | - | TBA vs Erick Fedde |
| July 9 | @ White Sox | - | Bailey Ober vs Drew Thorpe |
Tigers Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 27 | @ Angels | L 5-0 | Jack Flaherty vs Davis Daniel |
| June 28 | @ Angels | L 5-2 | Kenta Maeda vs Zach Plesac |
| June 29 | @ Angels | L 6-5 | Reese Olson vs Griffin Canning |
| June 30 | @ Angels | W 7-6 | Casey Mize vs Tyler Anderson |
| July 2 | @ Twins | L 5-3 | Tarik Skubal vs Simeon Woods Richardson |
| July 4 | @ Twins | - | Kenta Maeda vs Bailey Ober |
| July 5 | @ Reds | - | Reese Olson vs Carson Spiers |
| July 6 | @ Reds | - | Casey Mize vs Hunter Greene |
| July 7 | @ Reds | - | Tarik Skubal vs Graham Ashcraft |
| July 8 | Guardians | - | Jack Flaherty vs Gavin Williams |
| July 9 | Guardians | - | Kenta Maeda vs Ben Lively |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.