Thursday's contest between the Philadelphia Phillies (56-29) and the Chicago Cubs (39-47) at Wrigley Field should be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Phillies taking home the win. Game time is at 2:20 PM ET on July 4.
The Phillies will give the ball to Cristopher Sanchez (6-3, 2.41 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 7 on the season, and the Cubs will counter with Jameson Taillon (4-4, 3.03 ERA).
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Phillies vs. Cubs Game Info & Odds
- When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 2:20 PM ET
- Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Phillies vs. Cubs Score Prediction
- Our prediction for this matchup is Phillies 5, Cubs 4.
Total Prediction for Phillies vs. Cubs
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Phillies Performance Insights
- The Phillies have played as the favorite in nine of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times in its last 10 games with a total.
- This season, the Phillies have been favored 65 times and won 44, or 67.7%, of those games.
- This season Philadelphia has won 42 of its 63 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia has scored 426 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB.
- The Phillies have the top team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.09).
Cubs Performance Insights
- In six games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Cubs have posted a mark of 2-4.
- In its last 10 games with an over/under, Chicago and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.
- The Cubs have come away with 20 wins in the 46 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Chicago has a win-loss record of 14-22 when favored by +100 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- The offense for Chicago is the No. 20 offense in MLB, scoring 4.1 runs per game (351 total runs).
- The Cubs have pitched to a 4.01 ERA this season, which ranks 15th in baseball.
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Phillies Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 27 | Marlins | L 7-4 | Zack Wheeler vs Trevor Rogers |
| June 28 | Marlins | W 2-0 | Cristopher Sanchez vs Kyle Tyler |
| June 29 | Marlins | L 3-2 | Aaron Nola vs Roddery Munoz |
| June 30 | Marlins | W 7-6 | Ranger Suárez vs Yonny Chirinos |
| July 2 | @ Cubs | W 6-4 | Michael Mercado vs Hayden Wesneski |
| July 4 | @ Cubs | - | Cristopher Sanchez vs Jameson Taillon |
| July 5 | @ Braves | - | Aaron Nola vs Max Fried |
| July 6 | @ Braves | - | Ranger Suárez vs Spencer Schwellenbach |
| July 7 | @ Braves | - | Michael Mercado vs Reynaldo López |
| July 9 | Dodgers | - | Zack Wheeler vs Gavin Stone |
| July 10 | Dodgers | - | TBA vs TBA |
Cubs Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 27 | @ Giants | W 5-3 | Shota Imanaga vs Jordan Hicks |
| June 28 | @ Brewers | L 4-2 | Jameson Taillon vs Colin Rea |
| June 29 | @ Brewers | W 5-3 | Justin Steele vs Tobias Myers |
| June 30 | @ Brewers | L 7-1 | Kyle Hendricks vs Freddy Peralta |
| July 2 | Phillies | L 6-4 | Hayden Wesneski vs Michael Mercado |
| July 4 | Phillies | - | Jameson Taillon vs Cristopher Sanchez |
| July 5 | Angels | - | Justin Steele vs Griffin Canning |
| July 6 | Angels | - | Kyle Hendricks vs Tyler Anderson |
| July 7 | Angels | - | Hayden Wesneski vs José Soriano |
| July 9 | @ Orioles | - | Shota Imanaga vs Dean Kremer |
| July 10 | @ Orioles | - | TBA vs TBA |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.