Friday's contest that pits the Cleveland Guardians (37-19) against the Washington Nationals (26-29) at Progressive Field has a projected final score of 4-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Guardians, who are slightly favored in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 7:10 PM on May 31.
The Guardians will give the nod to Tanner Bibee (3-1, 3.99 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 4 on the season, and the Nationals will turn to Patrick Corbin (1-5, 6.12 ERA).
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Guardians vs. Nationals Game Info & Odds
- When: Friday, May 31, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: MASN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Guardians vs. Nationals Score Prediction
- Our pick for this contest is Guardians 4, Nationals 3.
Total Prediction for Guardians vs. Nationals
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
Guardians Performance Insights
- The Guardians have played as the favorite in seven of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents are 5-3-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
- This season, the Guardians have been favored 33 times and won 22, or 66.7%, of those games.
- Cleveland has a record of 2-1 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -227 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 69.4%.
- Cleveland is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking third with 286 total runs this season.
- The Guardians' 3.52 team ERA ranks eighth across all MLB pitching staffs.
Nationals Performance Insights
- In 10 games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have posted a mark of 6-4.
- When it comes to the over/under, Washington and its opponents are 5-5-0 in its previous 10 games.
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 50 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (46%) in those games.
- This year, Washington has won one of five games when listed as at least +180 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 35.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- The offense for Washington is the No. 24 offense in MLB, scoring four runs per game (222 total runs).
- The Nationals have the 11th-ranked ERA (3.84) in the majors this season.
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Guardians Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25 | @ Angels | W 4-3 | Tanner Bibee vs José Soriano |
| May 26 | @ Angels | W 5-4 | Ben Lively vs Reid Detmers |
| May 27 | @ Rockies | L 8-6 | Xzavion Curry vs Anthony Molina |
| May 28 | @ Rockies | W 13-7 | Triston McKenzie vs Ryan Feltner |
| May 29 | @ Rockies | L 7-4 | Logan Allen vs Ty Blach |
| May 31 | Nationals | - | Tanner Bibee vs Patrick Corbin |
| June 1 | Nationals | - | Ben Lively vs Mitchell Parker |
| June 2 | Nationals | - | Xzavion Curry vs Jake Irvin |
| June 4 | Royals | - | Triston McKenzie vs Seth Lugo |
| June 5 | Royals | - | Logan Allen vs Brady Singer |
| June 6 | Royals | - | Tanner Bibee vs Michael Wacha |
Nationals Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | Mariners | L 9-5 | Patrick Corbin vs Bryan Woo |
| May 27 | @ Braves | W 8-4 | Mitchell Parker vs Charlie Morton |
| May 28 | @ Braves | L 2-0 | Jake Irvin vs Max Fried |
| May 29 | @ Braves | W 7-2 | MacKenzie Gore vs Spencer Schwellenbach |
| May 30 | @ Braves | W 3-1 | Trevor Williams vs Raymond Kerr |
| May 31 | @ Guardians | - | Patrick Corbin vs Tanner Bibee |
| June 1 | @ Guardians | - | Mitchell Parker vs Ben Lively |
| June 2 | @ Guardians | - | Jake Irvin vs Xzavion Curry |
| June 3 | Mets | - | MacKenzie Gore vs José Quintana |
| June 4 | Mets | - | Trevor Williams vs David Peterson |
| June 5 | Mets | - | Patrick Corbin vs Christian Scott |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.