Sunday's contest between the Cleveland Guardians (44-24) and the Toronto Blue Jays (34-36) at Rogers Centre should be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Guardians taking home the win. First pitch is at 1:37 PM ET on June 16.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Blue Jays will send Jose Berrios (5-5) to the mound, while Ben Lively (6-2) will get the nod for the Guardians.

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Blue Jays vs. Guardians Game Info & Odds

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Blue Jays vs. Guardians Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this contest is Guardians 4, Blue Jays 3.

Total Prediction for Blue Jays vs. Guardians

  • Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs

Blue Jays Performance Insights

  • The Blue Jays have played as the favorite in eight of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Toronto and its opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
  • This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 46 times and won 28, or 60.9%, of those games.
  • Toronto is 13-9 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 58.3%.
  • Toronto ranks 25th in the majors with 271 total runs scored this season.
  • The Blue Jays have the 19th-ranked team ERA across all league pitching staffs (4.04).

Guardians Performance Insights

  • The Guardians have been an underdog just two times in their last 10 contests and split those games 1-1.
  • In its last 10 games with an over/under, Cleveland and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total two times.
  • The Guardians have won in 13, or 59.1%, of the 22 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Cleveland has won seven of 11 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • The offense for Cleveland is No. 8 in baseball, scoring 4.9 runs per game (335 total runs).
  • The Guardians have pitched to a 3.43 ERA this season, which ranks fifth in baseball.

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Blue Jays Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 10 @ Brewers L 3-1 José Berríos vs Colin Rea
June 11 @ Brewers W 3-0 Yusei Kikuchi vs Carlos Rodriguez
June 12 @ Brewers L 5-4 Chris Bassitt vs Tobias Myers
June 14 Guardians L 3-1 Kevin Gausman vs Logan Allen
June 15 Guardians W 5-0 Trevor Richards vs Carlos Carrasco
June 16 Guardians - José Berríos vs Ben Lively
June 17 Red Sox - Yusei Kikuchi vs Nick Pivetta
June 18 Red Sox - Chris Bassitt vs Tanner Houck
June 19 Red Sox - Kevin Gausman vs Brayan Bello
June 21 @ Guardians - TBA vs Carlos Carrasco
June 22 @ Guardians - José Berríos vs Ben Lively

Guardians Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 9 @ Marlins W 6-3 Carlos Carrasco vs Trevor Rogers
June 11 @ Reds W 5-3 Triston McKenzie vs Brent Suter
June 12 @ Reds L 4-2 Tanner Bibee vs Nick Lodolo
June 14 @ Blue Jays W 3-1 Logan Allen vs Kevin Gausman
June 15 @ Blue Jays L 5-0 Carlos Carrasco vs Trevor Richards
June 16 @ Blue Jays - Ben Lively vs José Berríos
June 18 Mariners - Triston McKenzie vs Bryce Miller
June 19 Mariners - Tanner Bibee vs Bryce Miller
June 20 Mariners - Logan Allen vs Luis Castillo
June 21 Blue Jays - Carlos Carrasco vs TBA
June 22 Blue Jays - Ben Lively vs José Berríos

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.