Saturday's contest that pits the Minnesota Twins (26-23) against the Texas Rangers (24-27) at Target Field is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Twins. First pitch is at 2:10 PM ET on May 25.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Twins will send Chris Paddack (4-2) to the mound, while Michael Lorenzen (2-3) will answer the bell for the Rangers.

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Twins vs. Rangers Game Info & Odds

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Twins vs. Rangers Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this game is Twins 5, Rangers 4.

Total Prediction for Twins vs. Rangers

  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

Twins Performance Insights

  • The Twins have played as the favorite in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Minnesota and its opponents are 3-7-0 in its last 10 games with a total.
  • The Twins have been favorites in 29 games this season and won 18 (62.1%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota has a record of 10-7, a 58.8% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Twins have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Minnesota has scored the 13th-most runs in the majors this season with 220 (4.5 per game).
  • The Twins have the 19th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.18).

Rangers Performance Insights

  • In four games as the underdog over the last 10 contests, the Rangers were upset in every contest.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, Texas and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on three occasions.
  • The Rangers have been underdogs in 19 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (36.8%) in those contests.
  • This year, Texas has won three of nine games when listed as at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Texas scores the 11th-most runs in baseball (228 total, 4.5 per game).
  • The Rangers have pitched to a 4.17 ERA this season, which ranks 18th in baseball.

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Twins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 19 @ Guardians L 5-2 Chris Paddack vs Tanner Bibee
May 20 @ Nationals L 12-3 Pablo Lopez vs Mitchell Parker
May 21 @ Nationals W 10-0 Joe Ryan vs Patrick Corbin
May 22 @ Nationals W 3-2 Simeon Woods Richardson vs Jake Irvin
May 24 Rangers - Bailey Ober vs José Ureña
May 25 Rangers - Chris Paddack vs Michael Lorenzen
May 26 Rangers - Pablo Lopez vs Jon Gray
May 27 Royals - Joe Ryan vs Alec Marsh
May 28 Royals - Simeon Woods Richardson vs Cole Ragans
May 29 Royals - Bailey Ober vs Seth Lugo
May 30 Royals - Chris Paddack vs Brady Singer

Rangers Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 19 Angels L 4-1 Michael Lorenzen vs José Soriano
May 21 @ Phillies L 5-2 Jon Gray vs Ranger Suárez
May 22 @ Phillies L 11-4 Dane Dunning vs Taijuan Walker
May 23 @ Phillies L 5-2 Andrew Heaney vs Zack Wheeler
May 24 @ Twins - José Ureña vs Bailey Ober
May 25 @ Twins - Michael Lorenzen vs Chris Paddack
May 26 @ Twins - Jon Gray vs Pablo Lopez
May 28 Diamondbacks - Dane Dunning vs Ryne Nelson
May 29 Diamondbacks - Andrew Heaney vs Zac Gallen
May 31 @ Marlins - TBA vs TBA
June 1 @ Marlins - TBA vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.