Friday's game between the New York Mets (39-39) and the Houston Astros (40-40) at Citi Field has a good chance to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Mets securing the victory. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET on June 28.

The Astros will give the nod to Ronel Blanco (8-2) against the Mets and Jose Quintana (3-5).

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Astros vs. Mets Game Info & Odds

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Astros vs. Mets Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this game is Mets 5, Astros 4.

Total Prediction for Astros vs. Mets

  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

Astros Performance Insights

  • In eight games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Astros have a record of 6-2.
  • Houston and its opponents have combined to hit the over three times in its last 10 games with a total.
  • The Astros have been favorites in 61 games this season and won 31 (50.8%) of those contests.
  • Houston has a record of 31-30, a 50.8% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • Houston ranks 13th in the majors with 367 total runs scored this season.
  • The Astros have the 17th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.07).

Mets Performance Insights

  • The Mets have played as the underdog five times over their past 10 games and are undefeated in those matchups.
  • When it comes to the total, New York and its foes are 6-4-0 in its previous 10 contests.
  • The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 38 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (50%) in those games.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 15-17 when favored by -105 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • New York scores the 10th-most runs in baseball (375 total, 4.8 per game).
  • Mets pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.09 ERA this year, which ranks 18th in MLB.

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Astros Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 21 Orioles W 14-11 Jake Bloss vs Grayson Rodriguez
June 22 Orioles W 5-1 Ronel Blanco vs Corbin Burnes
June 23 Orioles W 8-1 Framber Valdez vs Albert Suarez
June 25 Rockies W 5-2 Hunter Brown vs Austin Gomber
June 26 Rockies W 7-1 Spencer Arrighetti vs Ryan Feltner
June 28 @ Mets - Ronel Blanco vs José Quintana
June 29 @ Mets - Framber Valdez vs Tylor Megill
June 30 @ Mets - TBA vs Luis Severino
July 1 @ Blue Jays - Hunter Brown vs Yariel Rodriguez
July 2 @ Blue Jays - Spencer Arrighetti vs José Berríos
July 3 @ Blue Jays - Ronel Blanco vs Yusei Kikuchi

Mets Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 21 @ Cubs W 11-1 José Quintana vs Shota Imanaga
June 22 @ Cubs L 8-1 Tylor Megill vs Jameson Taillon
June 23 @ Cubs W 5-2 Luis Severino vs Javier Assad
June 25 Yankees W 9-7 David Peterson vs Gerrit Cole
June 26 Yankees W 12-2 Sean Manaea vs Luis Gil
June 28 Astros - José Quintana vs Ronel Blanco
June 29 Astros - Tylor Megill vs Framber Valdez
June 30 Astros - Luis Severino vs TBA
July 1 @ Nationals - David Peterson vs MacKenzie Gore
July 2 @ Nationals - Sean Manaea vs DJ Herz
July 3 @ Nationals - José Quintana vs Mitchell Parker

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.