Saturday's contest that pits the San Diego Padres (48-43) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (43-44) at PETCO Park should be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Padres. First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET on July 6.
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Padres will send Matt Waldron (5-7) to the mound, while Brandon Pfaadt (3-6) will take the ball for the Diamondbacks.
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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Info & Odds
- When: Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to Watch on TV: ARID
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Score Prediction
- Our prediction for this game is Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4.
Total Prediction for Padres vs. Diamondbacks
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Padres Performance Insights
- The Padres have played as the favorite in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
- This season, the Padres have been favored 47 times and won 25, or 53.2%, of those games.
- This season San Diego has won 21 of its 38 games, or 55.3%, when favored by at least -125 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
- San Diego has scored the eighth-most runs in the majors this season with 421.
- The Padres have a 4.05 team ERA that ranks 18th across all league pitching staffs.
Diamondbacks Performance Insights
- In six games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 3-3.
- In its last 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, Arizona and its opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 43 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (41.9%) in those contests.
- Arizona has a mark of 14-16 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Arizona is the ninth-highest scoring team in MLB, averaging 4.8 runs per game (420 total).
- Diamondbacks pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.62 ERA this year, which ranks 28th in MLB.
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Padres Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 29 | @ Red Sox | W 11-1 | Michael King vs Tanner Houck |
| June 30 | @ Red Sox | L 4-1 | Matt Waldron vs Josh Winckowski |
| July 2 | @ Rangers | L 7-0 | Dylan Cease vs Nathan Eovaldi |
| July 3 | @ Rangers | W 6-4 | Adam Mazur vs Jon Gray |
| July 4 | @ Rangers | W 3-1 | Michael King vs Max Scherzer |
| July 6 | Diamondbacks | - | Matt Waldron vs Brandon Pfaadt |
| July 7 | Diamondbacks | - | Dylan Cease vs Ryne Nelson |
| July 9 | Mariners | - | Adam Mazur vs Logan Gilbert |
| July 10 | Mariners | - | Michael King vs Bryce Miller |
| July 12 | Braves | - | Randy Vasquez vs Reynaldo López |
| July 13 | Braves | - | TBA vs TBA |
Diamondbacks Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 29 | Athletics | W 3-0 | Zac Gallen vs Hogan Harris |
| June 30 | Athletics | W 5-1 | Brandon Pfaadt vs Luis Medina |
| July 2 | @ Dodgers | L 6-5 | Joe Mantiply vs Bobby Miller |
| July 3 | @ Dodgers | W 12-4 | Cristian Mena vs Gavin Stone |
| July 4 | @ Dodgers | W 9-3 | Zac Gallen vs Landon Knack |
| July 6 | @ Padres | - | Brandon Pfaadt vs Matt Waldron |
| July 7 | @ Padres | - | Ryne Nelson vs Dylan Cease |
| July 8 | Braves | - | Jordan Montgomery vs Chris Sale |
| July 9 | Braves | - | Zac Gallen vs Charlie Morton |
| July 10 | Braves | - | Slade Cecconi vs Max Fried |
| July 11 | Braves | - | Brandon Pfaadt vs Spencer Schwellenbach |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.