Monday's contest at American Family Field has the Milwaukee Brewers (38-27) matching up with the Toronto Blue Jays (32-33) at 8:10 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 5-4 win for the Brewers, who are a small favorite based on our model.
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Brewers will send Colin Rea (4-2) to the mound, while Jose Berrios (5-4) will answer the bell for the Blue Jays.
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Brewers vs. Blue Jays Game Info & Odds
- When: Monday, June 10, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
- Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- How to Watch on TV: SN1
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Brewers vs. Blue Jays Score Prediction
- Our pick for this matchup is Brewers 5, Blue Jays 4.
Total Prediction for Brewers vs. Blue Jays
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Brewers Performance Insights
- In five games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Brewers have a perfect record of 5-0.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Milwaukee and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
- The Brewers have won 19, or 63.3%, of the 30 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Milwaukee has a record of 19-11, a 63.3% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
- Milwaukee has scored the seventh-most runs in the majors this season with 323.
- The Brewers' 3.79 team ERA ranks 10th among all MLB pitching staffs.
Blue Jays Performance Insights
- The Blue Jays have been the underdog just one time in the past 10 contests and lost that game.
- In its last 10 games with an over/under, Toronto and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total six times.
- The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 21 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (28.6%) in those games.
- Toronto has a mark of 5-11 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Toronto scores the 24th-most runs in baseball (257 total, four per game).
- The Blue Jays have pitched to a 4.17 ERA this season, which ranks 19th in baseball.
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Brewers Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 4 | @ Phillies | L 2-1 | Jared Koenig vs Cristopher Sanchez |
| June 5 | @ Phillies | L 2-0 | Aaron Ashby vs Aaron Nola |
| June 7 | @ Tigers | W 10-0 | Tobias Myers vs Reese Olson |
| June 8 | @ Tigers | W 5-4 | Freddy Peralta vs Casey Mize |
| June 9 | @ Tigers | L 10-2 | Bryse Wilson vs Tarik Skubal |
| June 10 | Blue Jays | - | Colin Rea vs José Berríos |
| June 11 | Blue Jays | - | TBA vs Yusei Kikuchi |
| June 12 | Blue Jays | - | Tobias Myers vs Chris Bassitt |
| June 14 | Reds | - | Freddy Peralta vs Hunter Greene |
| June 15 | Reds | - | Bryse Wilson vs Andrew Abbott |
| June 16 | Reds | - | Colin Rea vs Frankie Montás |
Blue Jays Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 5 | Orioles | W 3-2 | José Berríos vs Albert Suarez |
| June 6 | Orioles | W 6-5 | Yusei Kikuchi vs Cade Povich |
| June 7 | @ Athletics | L 2-1 | Chris Bassitt vs Hogan Harris |
| June 8 | @ Athletics | W 7-0 | Kevin Gausman vs Luis Medina |
| June 9 | @ Athletics | W 6-4 | Bowden Francis vs Mitch Spence |
| June 10 | @ Brewers | - | José Berríos vs Colin Rea |
| June 11 | @ Brewers | - | Yusei Kikuchi vs TBA |
| June 12 | @ Brewers | - | Chris Bassitt vs Tobias Myers |
| June 14 | Guardians | - | Kevin Gausman vs Logan Allen |
| June 15 | Guardians | - | TBA vs Ben Lively |
| June 16 | Guardians | - | José Berríos vs Carlos Carrasco |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.