Monday's contest that pits the Washington Nationals (20-25) versus the Minnesota Twins (24-22) at Nationals Park is expected to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Nationals. First pitch is at 6:45 PM ET on May 20.

The probable starters are Pablo Lopez (4-3) for the Twins and Mitchell Parker (2-2) for the Nationals.

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Twins vs. Nationals Game Info & Odds

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Twins vs. Nationals Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this contest is Nationals 5, Twins 4.

Total Prediction for Twins vs. Nationals

  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

Twins Performance Insights

  • The Twins have played as the favorite in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Minnesota and its opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
  • The Twins have won 16, or 61.5%, of the 26 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Minnesota has a record of 7-3, a 70% win rate, when favored by -165 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 62.3%.
  • Minnesota has scored 204 runs (4.4 per game) this season, which ranks 14th in MLB.
  • The Twins have the 19th-ranked team ERA across all league pitching staffs (4.19).

Nationals Performance Insights

  • In eight games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 1-7.
  • In its last 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, Washington and its opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Nationals have won in 17, or 42.5%, of the 40 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 11-12 when favored by +140 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Washington scores the fourth-fewest runs in baseball (176 total, 3.9 per game).
  • Nationals pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.93 ERA this year, which ranks 13th in MLB.

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Twins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 15 Yankees L 4-0 Pablo Lopez vs Marcus Stroman
May 16 Yankees L 5-0 Joe Ryan vs Clarke Schmidt
May 17 @ Guardians L 3-2 Simeon Woods Richardson vs Triston McKenzie
May 18 @ Guardians L 11-4 Bailey Ober vs Logan Allen
May 19 @ Guardians L 5-2 Chris Paddack vs Tanner Bibee
May 20 @ Nationals - Pablo Lopez vs Mitchell Parker
May 21 @ Nationals - Joe Ryan vs Patrick Corbin
May 22 @ Nationals - Simeon Woods Richardson vs Jake Irvin
May 24 Rangers - Bailey Ober vs Michael Lorenzen
May 25 Rangers - Chris Paddack vs TBA
May 26 Rangers - Pablo Lopez vs Jon Gray

Nationals Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 14 @ White Sox L 4-0 Mitchell Parker vs Erick Fedde
May 15 @ White Sox L 2-0 Patrick Corbin vs Garrett Crochet
May 17 @ Phillies L 4-2 Jake Irvin vs Zack Wheeler
May 18 @ Phillies L 4-3 MacKenzie Gore vs Cristopher Sanchez
May 19 @ Phillies L 11-5 Trevor Williams vs Aaron Nola
May 20 Twins - Mitchell Parker vs Pablo Lopez
May 21 Twins - Patrick Corbin vs Joe Ryan
May 22 Twins - Jake Irvin vs Simeon Woods Richardson
May 24 Mariners - MacKenzie Gore vs George Kirby
May 25 Mariners - Trevor Williams vs Logan Gilbert
May 26 Mariners - Mitchell Parker vs Bryan Woo

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.