Friday's game at Citizens Bank Park has the Philadelphia Phillies (53-28) taking on the Miami Marlins (29-52) at 6:20 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 5-3 victory for the Phillies, who are a small favorite based on our model.
The probable starters are Cristopher Sanchez (5-3) for the Phillies and Kyle Tyler for the Marlins.
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Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info & Odds
- When: Friday, June 28, 2024 at 6:20 PM ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Phillies vs. Marlins Score Prediction
- Our pick for this matchup is Phillies 5, Marlins 3.
Total Prediction for Phillies vs. Marlins
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Phillies Performance Insights
- The Phillies have played as the favorite in 10 of their past 10 games and have won six of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Philadelphia and its opponents are 4-6-0 in its last 10 games with a total.
- The Phillies have been favorites in 62 games this season and won 42 (67.7%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia has played as favorites of -278 or more twice this season and split those games.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 73.5% chance to win.
- Philadelphia has scored the third-most runs in the majors this season with 409.
- The Phillies have a 3.11 team ERA that leads all league pitching staffs.
Marlins Performance Insights
- In 10 games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have posted a mark of 6-4.
- When it comes to the total, Miami and its foes are 5-5-0 in its last 10 contests.
- The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 63 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (39.7%) in those games.
- Miami has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by +220 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 31.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Miami is the second-lowest scoring team in MLB action averaging 3.5 runs per game (284 total).
- The Marlins have pitched to a 4.59 ERA this season, which ranks 26th in baseball.
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Phillies Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 23 | Diamondbacks | W 4-1 | Cristopher Sanchez vs Slade Cecconi |
| June 24 | @ Tigers | W 8-1 | Aaron Nola vs Casey Mize |
| June 25 | @ Tigers | L 4-1 | Ranger Suárez vs Tarik Skubal |
| June 26 | @ Tigers | W 6-2 | Spencer Turnbull vs Tyler Holton |
| June 27 | Marlins | L 7-4 | Zack Wheeler vs Trevor Rogers |
| June 28 | Marlins | - | Cristopher Sanchez vs Kyle Tyler |
| June 29 | Marlins | - | Aaron Nola vs Roddery Munoz |
| June 30 | Marlins | - | Ranger Suárez vs Yonny Chirinos |
| July 2 | @ Cubs | - | Spencer Turnbull vs Kyle Hendricks |
| July 3 | @ Cubs | - | Zack Wheeler vs Shota Imanaga |
| July 4 | @ Cubs | - | TBA vs TBA |
Marlins Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 23 | Mariners | W 6-4 | Kyle Tyler vs Bryce Miller |
| June 24 | @ Royals | L 4-1 | Roddery Munoz vs Cole Ragans |
| June 25 | @ Royals | W 2-1 | Yonny Chirinos vs Seth Lugo |
| June 26 | @ Royals | L 5-1 | Valente Bellozo vs Brady Singer |
| June 27 | @ Phillies | W 7-4 | Trevor Rogers vs Zack Wheeler |
| June 28 | @ Phillies | - | Kyle Tyler vs Cristopher Sanchez |
| June 29 | @ Phillies | - | Roddery Munoz vs Aaron Nola |
| June 30 | @ Phillies | - | Yonny Chirinos vs Ranger Suárez |
| July 2 | Red Sox | - | TBA vs Brayan Bello |
| July 3 | Red Sox | - | Trevor Rogers vs Kutter Crawford |
| July 4 | Red Sox | - | TBA vs TBA |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.