Friday's contest that pits the Baltimore Orioles (49-25) versus the Houston Astros (35-40) at Minute Maid Park should be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Orioles. First pitch is at 8:10 PM ET on June 21.

The probable starters are Grayson Rodriguez (8-2) for the Orioles and Jake Bloss for the Astros.

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Orioles vs. Astros Game Info & Odds

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Orioles vs. Astros Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this contest is Orioles 5, Astros 4.

Total Prediction for Orioles vs. Astros

  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

Orioles Performance Insights

  • The Orioles have played as the favorite in five of their past 10 games and have gone 4-1 in those contests.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times in its last 10 games with a total.
  • The Orioles have entered the game as favorites 55 times this season and won 37, or 67.3%, of those games.
  • Baltimore is 18-7 this season when entering a game favored by -155 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 60.8%.
  • No team has scored more than the 390 runs Baltimore has this season.
  • The Orioles have a 3.14 team ERA that ranks second across all MLB pitching staffs.

Astros Performance Insights

  • Over their last 10 contests, the Astros were named underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, Houston and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on three occasions.
  • The Astros have won in six, or 40%, of the 15 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Houston has been listed as an underdog of +125 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 44.4% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Houston scores the 14th-most runs in baseball (328 total, 4.4 per game).
  • The Astros have the 18th-ranked ERA (4.12) in the majors this season.

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Orioles Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 15 Phillies W 6-2 Grayson Rodriguez vs Taijuan Walker
June 16 Phillies W 8-3 Corbin Burnes vs Zack Wheeler
June 18 @ Yankees L 4-2 Albert Suarez vs Nestor Cortes Jr.
June 19 @ Yankees W 7-6 Cade Povich vs Gerrit Cole
June 20 @ Yankees W 17-5 Cole Irvin vs Luis Gil
June 21 @ Astros - Grayson Rodriguez vs Jake Bloss
June 22 @ Astros - Corbin Burnes vs Ronel Blanco
June 23 @ Astros - Albert Suarez vs Framber Valdez
June 24 Guardians - Cade Povich vs Tanner Bibee
June 25 Guardians - Cole Irvin vs Logan Allen
June 26 Guardians - TBA vs TBA

Astros Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 15 Tigers L 13-5 Spencer Arrighetti vs Jack Flaherty
June 16 Tigers W 4-1 Ronel Blanco vs Kenta Maeda
June 18 @ White Sox L 2-0 Framber Valdez vs Jonathan Cannon
June 19 @ White Sox W 4-1 Hunter Brown vs Garrett Crochet
June 20 @ White Sox W 5-3 Spencer Arrighetti vs Chris Flexen
June 21 Orioles - Jake Bloss vs Grayson Rodriguez
June 22 Orioles - Ronel Blanco vs Corbin Burnes
June 23 Orioles - Framber Valdez vs Albert Suarez
June 25 Rockies - Framber Valdez vs Ryan Feltner
June 26 Rockies - TBA vs TBA
June 28 @ Mets - TBA vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.