Friday's contest between the Tampa Bay Rays (40-41) and Washington Nationals (38-42) going head to head at Tropicana Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Rays, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will begin at 6:50 PM ET on June 28.
The probable starters are Zach Eflin (3-5) for the Rays and Mitchell Parker (5-3) for the Nationals.
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Rays vs. Nationals Game Info & Odds
- When: Friday, June 28, 2024 at 6:50 PM ET
- Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: MASN2
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
- Tickets:Get tickets for this game at StubHub
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Rays vs. Nationals Score Prediction
- Our pick for this matchup is Rays 5, Nationals 4.
Total Prediction for Rays vs. Nationals
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Rays Performance Insights
- The Rays have played as the favorite in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
- The Rays have entered the game as favorites 45 times this season and won 23, or 51.1%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 3-5 when favored by -165 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- Tampa Bay ranks 21st in the majors with 328 total runs scored this season.
- The Rays' 4.36 team ERA ranks 23rd across all league pitching staffs.
Nationals Performance Insights
- In three games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 1-2.
- In its previous 10 games with a total, Washington and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on five occasions.
- The Nationals have won in 30, or 46.2%, of the 65 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Washington has a mark of 15-18 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +140 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 41.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- The offense for Washington is the No. 20 offense in the majors, scoring 4.2 runs per game (332 total runs).
- The Nationals have pitched to a 4.02 ERA this season, which ranks 16th in baseball.
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Rays Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
June 22 | @ Pirates | L 4-3 | Zach Eflin vs Jared Jones |
June 23 | @ Pirates | W 3-1 | Aaron Civale vs Paul Skenes |
June 24 | Mariners | W 4-3 | Taj Bradley vs Bryan Woo |
June 25 | Mariners | W 11-3 | Zack Littell vs Luis Castillo |
June 26 | Mariners | L 5-2 | Ryan Pepiot vs George Kirby |
June 28 | Nationals | - | Zach Eflin vs Mitchell Parker |
June 29 | Nationals | - | Aaron Civale vs Jake Irvin |
June 30 | Nationals | - | Taj Bradley vs Patrick Corbin |
July 2 | @ Royals | - | Zack Littell vs Brady Singer |
July 3 | @ Royals | - | Ryan Pepiot vs Michael Wacha |
July 4 | @ Royals | - | TBA vs TBA |
Nationals Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
June 22 | @ Rockies | L 8-7 | Mitchell Parker vs Cal Quantrill |
June 23 | @ Rockies | W 2-1 | Jake Irvin vs Kyle Freeland |
June 24 | @ Padres | L 7-6 | Patrick Corbin vs Matt Waldron |
June 25 | @ Padres | L 9-7 | MacKenzie Gore vs Adam Mazur |
June 26 | @ Padres | L 8-5 | DJ Herz vs Dylan Cease |
June 28 | @ Rays | - | Mitchell Parker vs Zach Eflin |
June 29 | @ Rays | - | Jake Irvin vs Aaron Civale |
June 30 | @ Rays | - | Patrick Corbin vs Taj Bradley |
July 1 | Mets | - | MacKenzie Gore vs David Peterson |
July 2 | Mets | - | DJ Herz vs Sean Manaea |
July 3 | Mets | - | Mitchell Parker vs José Quintana |
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.