Thursday's contest between the New York Yankees (54-34) and the Cincinnati Reds (41-45) at Yankee Stadium has a good chance to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Yankees taking home the win. Game time is at 1:05 PM ET on July 4.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Yankees will send Marcus Stroman (7-3) to the mound, while Frankie Montas (3-6) will get the nod for the Reds.

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Yankees vs. Reds Game Info & Odds

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Yankees vs. Reds Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this matchup is Yankees 4, Reds 3.

Total Prediction for Yankees vs. Reds

  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

Yankees Performance Insights

  • In eight games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Yankees have a record of 1-7.
  • New York and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in its last 10 games with a total.
  • This season, the Yankees have won 39 out of the 65 games, or 60%, in which they've been favored.
  • New York has a record of 12-7, a 63.2% win rate, when favored by -175 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Yankees have a 63.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New York is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking second with 443 total runs this season.
  • The Yankees have the fifth-ranked team ERA among all league pitching staffs (3.55).

Reds Performance Insights

  • The Reds have played as the underdog in six of their past 10 games and have gone 4-2 in those contests.
  • When it comes to the over/under, Cincinnati and its foes are 6-4-0 in its last 10 contests.
  • The Reds have been victorious in 19, or 38.8%, of the 49 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Cincinnati has a mark of 6-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +145 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 40.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Cincinnati scores the 16th-most runs in baseball (366 total, 4.3 per game).
  • The Reds have pitched to a 3.84 ERA this season, which ranks 11th in baseball.

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Yankees Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 28 @ Blue Jays W 16-5 Marcus Stroman vs Yusei Kikuchi
June 29 @ Blue Jays L 9-3 Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Chris Bassitt
June 30 @ Blue Jays W 8-1 Gerrit Cole vs Kevin Gausman
July 2 Reds L 5-4 Luis Gil vs Graham Ashcraft
July 3 Reds L 3-2 Carlos Rodón vs Andrew Abbott
July 4 Reds - Marcus Stroman vs Frankie Montás
July 5 Red Sox - Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Tanner Houck
July 6 Red Sox - Gerrit Cole vs Josh Winckowski
July 7 Red Sox - Luis Gil vs Kutter Crawford
July 9 @ Rays - Carlos Rodón vs Ryan Pepiot
July 10 @ Rays - Marcus Stroman vs Zach Eflin

Reds Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 28 @ Cardinals L 1-0 Frankie Montás vs Andre Pallante
June 29 @ Cardinals W 9-4 Carson Spiers vs Sonny Gray
June 30 @ Cardinals L 2-0 Hunter Greene vs Lance Lynn
July 2 @ Yankees W 5-4 Graham Ashcraft vs Luis Gil
July 3 @ Yankees W 3-2 Andrew Abbott vs Carlos Rodón
July 4 @ Yankees - Frankie Montás vs Marcus Stroman
July 5 Tigers - Carson Spiers vs Reese Olson
July 6 Tigers - Hunter Greene vs Casey Mize
July 7 Tigers - Graham Ashcraft vs Tarik Skubal
July 8 Rockies - Andrew Abbott vs Dakota Hudson
July 9 Rockies - Frankie Montás vs Cal Quantrill

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