Saturday's contest that pits the Minnesota Twins (49-38) against the Houston Astros (45-42) at Target Field has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Twins. Game time is at 2:10 PM ET on July 6.

The Twins will give the nod to Joe Ryan (5-5) against the Astros and Hunter Brown (6-5).

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Twins vs. Astros Game Info & Odds

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Twins vs. Astros Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this game is Twins 5, Astros 4.

Total Prediction for Twins vs. Astros

  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

Twins Performance Insights

  • In six games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Twins have a record of 4-2.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Minnesota and its opponents are 7-3-0 in its last 10 games with a total.
  • The Twins have been favorites in 55 games this season and won 34 (61.8%) of those contests.
  • This season Minnesota has won 33 of its 54 games, or 61.1%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Minnesota is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking sixth with 423 total runs this season.
  • The Twins have a 4.11 team ERA that ranks 20th across all league pitching staffs.

Astros Performance Insights

  • In three games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Astros have posted a mark of 2-1.
  • In its last 10 games with an over/under, Houston and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total six times.
  • The Astros have been victorious in 10, or 50%, of the 20 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Houston has a mark of 6-5 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Astros have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Houston scores the 11th-most runs in baseball (411 total, 4.7 per game).
  • The Astros have the 16th-ranked ERA (4.00) in the majors this season.

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Twins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 29 @ Mariners W 5-1 Pablo Lopez vs Bryce Miller
June 30 @ Mariners W 5-3 Joe Ryan vs Luis Castillo
July 2 Tigers W 5-3 Simeon Woods Richardson vs Tarik Skubal
July 3 Tigers L 9-2 David Festa vs Keider Montero
July 4 Tigers W 12-3 Bailey Ober vs Kenta Maeda
July 6 Astros - Joe Ryan vs Hunter Brown
July 7 Astros - Simeon Woods Richardson vs Spencer Arrighetti
July 8 @ White Sox - TBA vs Chris Flexen
July 9 @ White Sox - Bailey Ober vs Erick Fedde
July 10 @ White Sox - Pablo Lopez vs Drew Thorpe
July 12 @ Giants - Joe Ryan vs Kyle Harrison

Astros Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 30 @ Mets W 10-5 Shawn Dubin vs Luis Severino
July 1 @ Blue Jays W 3-1 Hunter Brown vs Yariel Rodriguez
July 2 @ Blue Jays L 7-6 Spencer Arrighetti vs José Berríos
July 3 @ Blue Jays W 9-2 Ronel Blanco vs Yusei Kikuchi
July 4 @ Blue Jays W 5-3 Framber Valdez vs Chris Bassitt
July 6 @ Twins - Hunter Brown vs Joe Ryan
July 7 @ Twins - Spencer Arrighetti vs Simeon Woods Richardson
July 9 Marlins - Ronel Blanco vs Trevor Rogers
July 10 Marlins - Framber Valdez vs Kyle Tyler
July 11 Marlins - TBA vs Bryan Hoeing
July 12 Rangers - Hunter Brown vs Andrew Heaney

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.