Sunday's game between the Chicago Cubs (37-40) and New York Mets (36-39) squaring off at Wrigley Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Cubs, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will start at 7:10 PM ET on June 23.

The Cubs will give the ball to Javier Assad (4-2, 2.75 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 5 on the season, and the Mets will turn to Luis Severino (4-2, 3.52 ERA).

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Cubs vs. Mets Game Info & Odds

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Cubs vs. Mets Score Prediction

  • Our pick for this game is Cubs 5, Mets 4.

Cubs Performance Insights

  • The Cubs have played as the favorite in five of their past 10 games and have won one of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Chicago and its opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Cubs have been favorites in 30 games this season and won 14 (46.7%) of those contests.
  • Chicago is 14-16 this season when entering a game favored by -115 or more on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 53.5% chance to win.
  • Chicago has scored 324 runs (4.2 per game) this season, which ranks 18th in MLB.
  • The Cubs have the 14th-ranked team ERA across all league pitching staffs (3.92).

Mets Performance Insights

  • In three games as the underdog over the last 10 contests, the Mets have a perfect record of 3-0.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, New York and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on five occasions.
  • The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (47.2%) in those games.
  • New York has a mark of 13-17 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • New York scores the 12th-most runs in baseball (349 total, 4.7 per game).
  • Mets pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.12 ERA this year, which ranks 19th in MLB.

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Cubs Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 17 Giants L 7-6 Javier Assad vs Jordan Hicks
June 18 Giants W 5-2 Justin Steele vs Logan Webb
June 19 Giants W 6-5 Kyle Hendricks vs Erik Miller
June 21 Mets L 11-1 Shota Imanaga vs José Quintana
June 22 Mets W 8-1 Jameson Taillon vs Tylor Megill
June 23 Mets - Javier Assad vs Luis Severino
June 24 @ Giants - Justin Steele vs Logan Webb
June 25 @ Giants - Kyle Hendricks vs TBA
June 26 @ Giants - Shota Imanaga vs Keaton Winn
June 27 @ Giants - Jameson Taillon vs Jordan Hicks
June 28 @ Brewers - Javier Assad vs Carlos Rodriguez

Mets Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
June 17 @ Rangers W 14-2 David Peterson vs Jon Gray
June 18 @ Rangers W 7-6 Luis Severino vs Michael Lorenzen
June 19 @ Rangers L 5-3 Sean Manaea vs Andrew Heaney
June 21 @ Cubs W 11-1 José Quintana vs Shota Imanaga
June 22 @ Cubs L 8-1 Tylor Megill vs Jameson Taillon
June 23 @ Cubs - Luis Severino vs Javier Assad
June 25 Yankees - David Peterson vs Gerrit Cole
June 26 Yankees - Sean Manaea vs Luis Gil
June 28 Astros - José Quintana vs TBA
June 29 Astros - Tylor Megill vs Ronel Blanco
June 30 Astros - TBA vs TBA

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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.