Sunday's contest between the New York Mets (40-40) and the Houston Astros (41-41) at Citi Field has a good chance to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Mets coming out on top. Game time is at 1:40 PM ET on June 30.

The probable starters are Luis Severino (5-2) for the Mets and Shawn Dubin (1-1) for the Astros.

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Mets vs. Astros Game Info & Odds

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Mets vs. Astros Score Prediction

  • Our prediction for this game is Mets 5, Astros 4.

Total Prediction for Mets vs. Astros

  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

Explore More About This Game

  • How to Watch Mets vs. Astros

    • Mets Performance Insights

    • In three games over the last 10 matchups when favored by bookmakers, the Mets have a record of 1-2.
    • In its last 10 games with a total, New York and its opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
    • This season, the Mets have won 17 out of the 35 games, or 48.6%, in which they've been favored.
    • New York has entered three games this season favored by -159 or more and is 2-1 in those contests.
    • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 61.4% chance of a victory for the Mets.
    • New York has scored the 10th-most runs in the majors this season with 388.
    • The Mets have a 4.12 team ERA that ranks 19th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Astros Performance Insights

    • The Astros have played as the underdog three times over their past 10 games and are undefeated in those matchups.
    • When it comes to the total, Houston and its opponents are 4-6-0 in its last 10 games.
    • The Astros have won in nine, or 50%, of the 18 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
    • Houston has played as an underdog of +135 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
    • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 42.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
    • Houston scores the 12th-most runs in baseball (378 total, 4.6 per game).
    • The Astros have the 18th-ranked ERA (4.09) in the majors this season.

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    Mets Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    June 23 @ Cubs W 5-2 Luis Severino vs Javier Assad
    June 25 Yankees W 9-7 David Peterson vs Gerrit Cole
    June 26 Yankees W 12-2 Sean Manaea vs Luis Gil
    June 28 Astros W 7-2 José Quintana vs Ronel Blanco
    June 29 Astros L 9-6 Tylor Megill vs Framber Valdez
    June 30 Astros - Luis Severino vs Shawn Dubin
    July 1 @ Nationals - David Peterson vs MacKenzie Gore
    July 2 @ Nationals - Sean Manaea vs DJ Herz
    July 3 @ Nationals - José Quintana vs Mitchell Parker
    July 4 @ Nationals - Tylor Megill vs Jake Irvin
    July 5 @ Pirates - TBA vs TBA

    Astros Schedule

    Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
    June 23 Orioles W 8-1 Framber Valdez vs Albert Suarez
    June 25 Rockies W 5-2 Hunter Brown vs Austin Gomber
    June 26 Rockies W 7-1 Spencer Arrighetti vs Ryan Feltner
    June 28 @ Mets L 7-2 Ronel Blanco vs José Quintana
    June 29 @ Mets W 9-6 Framber Valdez vs Tylor Megill
    June 30 @ Mets - Shawn Dubin vs Luis Severino
    July 1 @ Blue Jays - Hunter Brown vs Yariel Rodriguez
    July 2 @ Blue Jays - Spencer Arrighetti vs José Berríos
    July 3 @ Blue Jays - Ronel Blanco vs Yusei Kikuchi
    July 4 @ Blue Jays - Framber Valdez vs Chris Bassitt
    July 5 @ Twins - TBA vs TBA

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    dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. You can contact dataskrive at info@triblive.com.